Risk Intelligence
Core Model
A−
87 / 100
Fundamentally Qualified
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Among the strongest readings on this measure.
Suggestions
FIX · NYSE
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC
Private betaSector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$1,691
+6.29%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Defensively Qualified
Updated 6/30/2026
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC
Sector unavailable · Data confidence good
94 / 100
Rank #1 of 1,152 qualified companies
Top 1% · Exceptional Research Candidate
Long-Term Potential
Research Model
B
79 / 100
Ordinary Compounder
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Above average on this measure.
Fundamental Momentum
Research Model
A
91 / 100
Deteriorating
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Among the strongest readings on this measure.
Ownership Intelligence
Supplemental Intelligence
A
92 / 100
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
Among the strongest readings on this measure.
Valuation Intelligence
Research Model
F
39 / 100
Elevated
Is today's price reasonable?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Capital Returns Intelligence
Research Model
C+
68 / 100
Favorable Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Why it stands out
- Business Quality meets the frozen IA Defensive qualification.
- More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
What holds it back
- The Fundamental Momentum research model shows deterioration.
- Elevated valuation: the current market price reflects a premium to this company's historical valuation and comparable companies (Valuation Intelligence 39 out of 100, Elevated).
Long-term view
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC scores 79 on Long-Term Potential (B), described by the research model as ordinary compounder. This describes business characteristics only — it is not a forecast of future returns.
Ownership view
Disclosed ownership evidence reads 92 (A): Positive disclosed activity. 3 tracked managers disclosed a position in the latest reporting period. Ownership filings are historical disclosures, not signals.
Valuation view
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC reads 39 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Elevated. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital returns view
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC reads 68 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 22.8% a year and a share count falling about 0.7% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What changed
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare FIX with other companiesAppears in
Rule-based membership
- Highest Rankedsince 2026-09-12
- Ownership Strengtheningsince 2026-09-12
- Newly Suggestedsince 2026-09-12
Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.
About a minute to read
The 60-Second Investment Brief
Written from stored research readings only. No hype. No trading signals. Just better evidence.
Why it's interesting
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC (FIX) scores 94 out of 100 and ranks #1 of 1,152 qualified companies today. That places it in the top 1% of ranked companies. The stored tier for that score is exceptional research candidate.
Business strength
Risk Intelligence reads 87 out of 100 (A−), recorded as fundamentally qualified. Among the strongest readings on this measure.
Long-term opportunity
Long-Term Potential reads 79 out of 100 (B), recorded as ordinary compounder. Above average on this measure.
What's improving or weakening
Fundamental Momentum reads 91 out of 100 (A), recorded as deteriorating. Among the strongest readings on this measure.
What important owners are doing
Ownership Intelligence reads 92 out of 100 (A), recorded as positive disclosed activity. Among the strongest readings on this measure.
What kind of price you'd be paying
Valuation is currently the main point of caution: Valuation Intelligence reads 39 out of 100 (F), recorded as Elevated. COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC reads 39 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Elevated. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
How the company rewards shareholders
Capital Returns Intelligence reads 68 out of 100 (C+), recorded as Favorable Capital Returns. COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC reads 68 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 22.8% a year and a share count falling about 0.7% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What could go wrong
The Fundamental Momentum research model shows deterioration. Elevated valuation: the current market price reflects a premium to this company's historical valuation and comparable companies (Valuation Intelligence 39 out of 100, Elevated). Data confidence for this company is good.
Bottom line
Its strongest recorded evidence is Risk Intelligence and Fundamental Momentum and Ownership Intelligence. Separately from the score, valuation reads elevated at today's price.
Composite discovery model
Suggested Investment Score
Suggested Investment Score
94 / 100
Exceptional Research Candidate
A 0–100 composite discovery score combining Risk Intelligence, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, and Ownership Intelligence. It helps rank qualified companies for further research and does not predict future returns.
- Rank
- #1 of 694
- Percentile
- Top 1%
- Ranking updated
- September 12, 2026
—Rank unchanged. Rank unchanged.
- Risk Intelligence
- 87
- Long-Term Potential
- 79
- Fundamental Momentum
- 91
- Ownership Intelligence
- 92
30% contribution
30% contribution
20% contribution
20% contribution
Ownership Intelligence
92 / 100 · Strong · 20% of the Suggested Investment Score
SUPPLEMENTAL / DESCRIPTIVE INTELLIGENCE
Coverage: Good
- Elite Investor Activity
- 100 · Strong
- Institutional Activity
- 73 · Positive
- Insider Activity
- Insufficient Data
- Strategic Ownership
- Insufficient Data
50% of Ownership Intelligence · 10% of the total score
Tracked professional-manager activity is strong.
20% of Ownership Intelligence · 4% of the total score
Broad institutional evidence from resolved filings is positive.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No discretionary insider transactions are stored for this company, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No qualifying major-holder filings are stored, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
Ownership Intelligence summarizes publicly disclosed activity among professional investment managers, broader institutions, company insiders, and significant strategic owners. It adds context to investment research but is not a validated predictor of future performance. Ownership information is publicly reported with a delay; the latest applicable reporting period is 2026-06-30, publicly disclosed 9/11/2026. Congressional activity is unavailable pending legal review and contributes nothing to this reading.
Why it ranks here
Strong risk profile
Risk Intelligence ranks in the top 1% of qualified companies, with higher_risk price risk.
Exceptional long-term potential
Stored profitability, capital efficiency and reinvestment readings rank near the top of the qualified universe.
Improving fundamentals
Recent reported business trends rank among the strongest in the qualified universe.
Strong ownership evidence
Disclosed elite investor activity, institutional activity evidence is favourable relative to other qualified companies. Ownership evidence is descriptive and reported with a delay.
What holds it back
Ownership evidence disagrees
Different owner groups point in different directions, so the combined reading is best read as mixed rather than uniformly favourable.
Price Risk is less favourable
Price Risk sits in the higher category relative to other qualified companies.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Data coverage Excellent. Rankings are recalculated daily using the latest available information. Individual components may update at different frequencies based on when new financial and ownership data becomes available.
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 39 · Elevated
RESEARCH MODEL
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 68 · Favorable Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Score explanation
Why this company scores the way it does
Four research areas carry fixed weights. Each area is compared against every other eligible company, then weighted. The four contributions below add to 94.3 of the stored score (94.3).
Risk Intelligence
30% of the score · contributes 29.8 points
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Stands at the 99 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 87 · 32% of this company’s total score
How financially sturdy the company has been when conditions turned against it.
How this area is measured
Risk Intelligence reads stored balance-sheet strength, historical downside behaviour and the company's price-risk grouping. A stronger reading describes past resilience; it does not protect against future losses.
Full methodologyLong-Term Potential
30% of the score · contributes 29.4 points
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Stands at the 98 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 79 · 31% of this company’s total score
Whether the business has the durable characteristics long-term owners look for.
How this area is measured
Long-Term Potential reads durability characteristics such as profitability consistency, cash generation and reinvestment capability over multiple reported periods.
Full methodologyFundamental Momentum
20% of the score · contributes 19.6 points
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Stands at the 98 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 91 · 21% of this company’s total score
Whether the reported business results have been getting stronger or weaker.
How this area is measured
Fundamental Momentum compares recent reported fundamentals with the company's own earlier periods, so improvement or deterioration is measured against its history rather than against a forecast.
Full methodologyOwnership Intelligence
20% of the score · contributes 15.5 points
What are important owners actually doing?
Stands at the 77 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 92 · 16% of this company’s total score
What large reporting owners have actually been doing with their positions.
How this area is measured
Ownership Intelligence reads public ownership filings: how many tracked reporting owners hold the company, and whether they were adding, holding, reducing or exiting in the latest disclosed period.
Full methodology
What is helping the score
- Risk Intelligence — 99 percentile, adding 29.8 points.
- Long-Term Potential — 98 percentile, adding 29.4 points.
- Fundamental Momentum — 98 percentile, adding 19.6 points.
- Ownership Intelligence — 77 percentile, adding 15.5 points.
What deserves attention
No research area currently sits in the weaker range. That is not evidence of low risk.
Outside the score
Additional research — not currently included in the primary Suggested Investment Score.
- Valuation Intelligence — COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC reads 39 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Elevated. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
- Capital Returns Intelligence — COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC reads 68 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 22.8% a year and a share count falling about 0.7% a year.
Stored snapshots only
What changed
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Learn the metrics on this page
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence
Is today's price reasonable?
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
39/ 100
Elevated
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Compared with its history
4
Expensive
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
Compared with peers
23
Expensive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
Earnings & cash flow
46
Elevated
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
Growth-adjusted
100
Very Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC reads 39 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Elevated. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Valuation history
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current EV/Sales 5.2x · own median 1.0x · peer median 1.4x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
68/ 100
Favorable Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Dividend Quality
93
Exceptional Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
Buyback Effectiveness
46
Moderate Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
Dilution Control
52
Moderate Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
Capital Return Sustainability
93
Exceptional Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
Shareholder Yield
42
Limited Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC reads 68 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 22.8% a year and a share count falling about 0.7% a year.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $91.58M · net repurchases $112.22M · total returned $203.80M · 9% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Capital returns history
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
Why higher yield isn't always better
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Why buybacks can be misleading
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
What these terms mean
- Dividend Yield
- The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
- Payout Ratio
- The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
- Free Cash Flow Payout
- How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
- Share Repurchases
- When a company buys back its own stock.
- Dilution
- When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
- Shareholder Yield
- A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
Ranking history
| Today | #1 | Score 94 |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | September 12, 2026 | |
| Highest rank | #1 | |
In the company’s own words
What this company does
Comfort Systems USA, Inc., a Delaware corporation, was established in 1997. We provide mechanical and electrical contracting services. Our mechanical segment principally includes heating, ventilation and air conditioning ("HVAC"), plumbing, piping and controls, as well as off-site construction, monitoring and fire protection. Our electrical segment includes installation and servicing of electrical systems. We build, install, maintain, repair and replace mechanical, electrical and plumbing ("MEP") systems through our 50 operating units with 190 locations in 142 cities throughout the United States.
We operate primarily in the commercial, industrial and institutional MEP markets and perform most of our services in manufacturing, healthcare, education, office, technology, retail and government facilities. Substantially all of our consolidated 2025 revenue was derived from commercial, industrial and institutional customers and multi-family residential projects. Approximately 63.2% of our revenue was attributable to installation services in newly constructed facilities and 36.8% was attributable to renovation, expansion, maintenance, repair and replacement services in existing buildings. Our consolidated 2025 revenue was derived from the following service industries:
We believe that commercial, industrial, and institutional mechanical and electrical contracting generate annual revenue in the United States of approximately $700 billion. Mechanical and electrical systems are necessary to virtually all commercial, industrial and institutional buildings. Because most buildings are sealed, HVAC systems provide the primary method of circulating fresh air in such buildings. Replacing an aging building’s existing systems with modern, energy-efficient systems significantly reduces a building’s energy consumption, carbon footprint, and operating costs while improving air quality and overall system effectiveness. Older commercial, industrial and institutional facilities frequently have poor air quality and provide less comfortable environments, and older HVAC systems result in significantly higher energy consumption than modern systems. As electrical systems age, they require service and replacement, and changing building configurations and technological power load requirements lead to the need to reconfigure and improve electrical systems in buildings on a regular basis.
Many factors affect mechanical and electrical services industry growth, including but not limited to, (i) population growth, which increases the need for commercial, industrial and institutional space, (ii) an aging installed base of buildings and equipment, (iii) increasing sophistication, complexity and efficiency of mechanical and electrical systems, and (iv) growing emphasis on internal air quality, environmental sustainability and energy efficiency.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 19, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
The IA view
Risk Intelligence
Production core
87
Fundamentally Qualified
+11.6 vs Jun 30, 2026
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Long-Term Potential
Research model
79
Elite Compounder
+20.7 vs Jun 30, 2026
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Momentum
Research model
91
Accelerating
+56 vs Jun 30, 2026
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Elite Investor Activity
Supplemental
100
Upper range
0 vs Jun 30, 2026
Only 3 tracked managers disclosed a position — treat as limited coverage.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Company intelligence
FIX score history
Each area is measured and reported separately. No combined score exists.
FIX intelligence history from 2023-09-30 to 2026-09-11. Risk Intelligence 86.9 on 2026-09-11, up 11.6 from 75.3 on 2026-06-30. Long-Term Potential 79.1 on 2026-09-11, up 20.7 from 58.4 on 2026-06-30. Fundamental Momentum 91 on 2026-09-11, up 56 from 35 on 2026-06-30. Elite Investor Activity 100 on 2026-09-11, unchanged 0 from 100 on 2026-06-30. Each area is reported separately and is never combined into a single score.
Risk Intelligence 86.9 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+11.6 vs prior period) · Production core
Long-Term Potential 79.1 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+20.7 vs prior period) · Research model
Fundamental Momentum 91 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+56 vs prior period) · Research model
Elite Investor Activity 100 as of Sep 11, 2026 (0 vs prior period) · Supplemental
Share price
FIX price history
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Past prices do not indicate future results.
- 6M change
- +23.2%
- 1Y change
- +121.5%
- 3Y change
- +805.8%
- 5Y change
- +2372.6%
- Max change
- +3458.9%
Last stored close $1690.82 · +121.5% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Why IA likes it
- Business Quality meets the frozen IA Defensive qualification.
- More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
Risk and uncertainty
What IA doesn’t like
- The Fundamental Momentum research model shows deterioration.
What would change our view
- Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
- Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
- A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
- New material public ownership disclosures.
Public filings · descriptive only
Elite Investor Activity
Reporting holders
7
New holders
5
Increasing
1
Reducing
1
Exiting
0
Coverage
Excellent
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2022-12-31 · Public 12/19/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
What changed
- Risk Intelligence
IA Defensive improved
Business Quality qualification score moved from 75.3 to 83.4.
- Risk Intelligence
Price Risk category changed
Price Risk moved from Not Available to Higher risk.
- Long-Term Potential
IA Compounder strengthened
IA Compounder research score moved from 58.4 to 74.1.
- Fundamental Momentum
Fundamental Momentum improved
Fundamental Momentum research score moved from 35.0 to 93.5.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers initiated positions
2 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-09-11.
- Risk Intelligence
IA Defensive weakened
Business Quality qualification score moved from 77.0 to 75.3.
- Long-Term Potential
IA Compounder softened
IA Compounder research score moved from 73.6 to 58.4.
- Fundamental Momentum
Fundamental Momentum softened
Fundamental Momentum research score moved from 59.1 to 35.0.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers initiated positions
2 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
Ownership timeline
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.