Risk Intelligence
Core Model
A−
87 / 100
Fundamentally Qualified
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Among the strongest readings on this measure.
Suggestions
NVDA · Nasdaq
NVIDIA CORP
Private betaInformation Technology · Semiconductors
$218.29
-0.03%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Defensively Qualified
Updated 6/30/2026
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
NVIDIA CORP
Information Technology · Semiconductors · Data confidence good
79 / 100
Rank #37 of 1,152 qualified companies
Top 6% · Worth a Closer Look
Long-Term Potential
Research Model
B+
82 / 100
Weak Compounder
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Above average on this measure.
Fundamental Momentum
Research Model
C
60 / 100
Deteriorating
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
Ownership Intelligence
Supplemental Intelligence
C
62 / 100
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
Valuation Intelligence
Research Model
C+
69 / 100
Attractive
Is today's price reasonable?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Capital Returns Intelligence
Research Model
C+
66 / 100
Favorable Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Why it stands out
- Business Quality meets the frozen IA Defensive qualification.
- More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
- Attractive valuation: the stock reads 69 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence (Attractive) relative to its own history and comparable companies.
What holds it back
- Price Risk is currently in the higher-risk category.
- The Fundamental Momentum research model shows deterioration.
Long-term view
NVIDIA CORP scores 82 on Long-Term Potential (B+), described by the research model as weak compounder. This describes business characteristics only — it is not a forecast of future returns.
Ownership view
Disclosed ownership evidence reads 62 (C): Positive disclosed activity. 27 tracked managers disclosed a position in the latest reporting period. Ownership filings are historical disclosures, not signals.
Valuation view
NVIDIA CORP reads 69 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital returns view
NVIDIA CORP reads 66 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 15.0% a year and a share count falling about 0.8% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What changed
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare NVDA with other companiesAppears in
Rule-based membership
- Highest Rankedsince 2026-09-12
- Low-Risk Long-Term Leaderssince 2026-09-12
- Low-Dilution Compounderssince 2026-09-12
- Attractive Valuationsince 2026-09-12
- Strong Business + Attractive Valuationsince 2026-09-12
- Newly Suggestedsince 2026-09-12
Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.
About a minute to read
The 60-Second Investment Brief
Written from stored research readings only. No hype. No trading signals. Just better evidence.
Why it's interesting
NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) scores 79 out of 100 and ranks #37 of 1,152 qualified companies today. That places it in the top 6% of ranked companies. The stored tier for that score is worth a closer look.
Business strength
Risk Intelligence reads 87 out of 100 (A−), recorded as fundamentally qualified. Among the strongest readings on this measure.
Long-term opportunity
Long-Term Potential reads 82 out of 100 (B+), recorded as weak compounder. Above average on this measure.
What's improving or weakening
Fundamental Momentum reads 60 out of 100 (C), recorded as deteriorating. Around the middle of the covered universe.
What important owners are doing
Ownership Intelligence reads 62 out of 100 (C), recorded as positive disclosed activity. Around the middle of the covered universe.
What kind of price you'd be paying
Valuation currently appears favourable: Valuation Intelligence reads 69 out of 100 (C+), recorded as Attractive. NVIDIA CORP reads 69 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
How the company rewards shareholders
Capital Returns Intelligence reads 66 out of 100 (C+), recorded as Favorable Capital Returns. NVIDIA CORP reads 66 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 15.0% a year and a share count falling about 0.8% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What could go wrong
Price Risk is currently in the higher-risk category. The Fundamental Momentum research model shows deterioration. Data confidence for this company is good.
Bottom line
Its strongest recorded evidence is Risk Intelligence and Long-Term Potential. Separately from the score, valuation reads attractive at today's price.
Composite discovery model
Suggested Investment Score
Suggested Investment Score
79 / 100
Worth a Closer Look
A 0–100 composite discovery score combining Risk Intelligence, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, and Ownership Intelligence. It helps rank qualified companies for further research and does not predict future returns.
- Rank
- #37 of 694
- Percentile
- Top 10%
- Ranking updated
- September 12, 2026
27Rank weakened by 27 positions. Rank weakened by 27 positions.
- Risk Intelligence
- 87
- Long-Term Potential
- 82
- Fundamental Momentum
- 60
- Ownership Intelligence
- 62
30% contribution
30% contribution
20% contribution
20% contribution
Ownership Intelligence
62 / 100 · Moderately Positive · 20% of the Suggested Investment Score
SUPPLEMENTAL / DESCRIPTIVE INTELLIGENCE
Coverage: Good
- Elite Investor Activity
- 54 · Moderately Positive
- Institutional Activity
- 84 · Strong
- Insider Activity
- Insufficient Data
- Strategic Ownership
- Insufficient Data
50% of Ownership Intelligence · 10% of the total score
Tracked professional-manager activity is moderately positive.
20% of Ownership Intelligence · 4% of the total score
Broad institutional evidence from resolved filings is strong.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No discretionary insider transactions are stored for this company, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No qualifying major-holder filings are stored, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
Ownership Intelligence summarizes publicly disclosed activity among professional investment managers, broader institutions, company insiders, and significant strategic owners. It adds context to investment research but is not a validated predictor of future performance. Ownership information is publicly reported with a delay; the latest applicable reporting period is 2026-06-30, publicly disclosed 9/11/2026. Congressional activity is unavailable pending legal review and contributes nothing to this reading.
Why it ranks here
Strong risk profile
Risk Intelligence ranks in the top 1% of qualified companies, with normal_risk price risk.
Exceptional long-term potential
Stored profitability, capital efficiency and reinvestment readings rank near the top of the qualified universe.
What holds it back
Ownership evidence is not uniformly supportive
The combined disclosed ownership evidence ranks below the qualified median.
Ownership evidence disagrees
Different owner groups point in different directions, so the combined reading is best read as mixed rather than uniformly favourable.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Data coverage Excellent. Rankings are recalculated daily using the latest available information. Individual components may update at different frequencies based on when new financial and ownership data becomes available.
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 69 · Attractive
RESEARCH MODEL
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 66 · Favorable Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Score explanation
Why this company scores the way it does
Four research areas carry fixed weights. Each area is compared against every other eligible company, then weighted. The four contributions below add to 78.7 of the stored score (78.7).
Risk Intelligence
30% of the score · contributes 29.9 points
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Stands at the 100 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 87 · 38% of this company’s total score
How financially sturdy the company has been when conditions turned against it.
How this area is measured
Risk Intelligence reads stored balance-sheet strength, historical downside behaviour and the company's price-risk grouping. A stronger reading describes past resilience; it does not protect against future losses.
Full methodologyLong-Term Potential
30% of the score · contributes 29.8 points
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Stands at the 99 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 82 · 38% of this company’s total score
Whether the business has the durable characteristics long-term owners look for.
How this area is measured
Long-Term Potential reads durability characteristics such as profitability consistency, cash generation and reinvestment capability over multiple reported periods.
Full methodologyFundamental Momentum
20% of the score · contributes 13.5 points
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Stands at the 68 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 60 · 17% of this company’s total score
Whether the reported business results have been getting stronger or weaker.
How this area is measured
Fundamental Momentum compares recent reported fundamentals with the company's own earlier periods, so improvement or deterioration is measured against its history rather than against a forecast.
Full methodologyOwnership Intelligence
20% of the score · contributes 5.5 points
What are important owners actually doing?
Stands at the 28 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 62 · 7% of this company’s total score
What large reporting owners have actually been doing with their positions.
How this area is measured
Ownership Intelligence reads public ownership filings: how many tracked reporting owners hold the company, and whether they were adding, holding, reducing or exiting in the latest disclosed period.
Full methodology
What is helping the score
- Risk Intelligence — 100 percentile, adding 29.9 points.
- Long-Term Potential — 99 percentile, adding 29.8 points.
- Fundamental Momentum — 68 percentile, adding 13.5 points.
What deserves attention
- Ownership Intelligence — 28 percentile, adding only 5.5 of a possible 20 points.
Outside the score
Additional research — not currently included in the primary Suggested Investment Score.
- Valuation Intelligence — NVIDIA CORP reads 69 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
- Capital Returns Intelligence — NVIDIA CORP reads 66 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 15.0% a year and a share count falling about 0.8% a year.
Stored snapshots only
What changed
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Learn the metrics on this page
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence
Is today's price reasonable?
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
69/ 100
Attractive
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Compared with its history
82
Very Attractive
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
Compared with peers
53
Reasonable
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
Earnings & cash flow
44
Elevated
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
Growth-adjusted
100
Very Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
NVIDIA CORP reads 69 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended July 26, 2026
Valuation history
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current EV/Sales 17.4x · own median 20.8x · peer median 8.2x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
66/ 100
Favorable Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Dividend Quality
89
Exceptional Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
Buyback Effectiveness
55
Moderate Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
Dilution Control
53
Moderate Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
Capital Return Sustainability
76
Strong Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
Shareholder Yield
42
Moderate Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
NVIDIA CORP reads 66 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 15.0% a year and a share count falling about 0.8% a year.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $6.78B · net repurchases $63.63B · total returned $70.40B · 55% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended July 26, 2026
Capital returns history
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
Why higher yield isn't always better
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Why buybacks can be misleading
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
What these terms mean
- Dividend Yield
- The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
- Payout Ratio
- The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
- Free Cash Flow Payout
- How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
- Share Repurchases
- When a company buys back its own stock.
- Dilution
- When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
- Shareholder Yield
- A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
Ranking history
| Today | #37 | Score 79 |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | September 12, 2026 | |
| Highest rank | #37 | |
In the company’s own words
What this company does
NVIDIA pioneered accelerated computing to help solve the most challenging computational problems. NVIDIA is now a data center scale AI infrastructure company reshaping all industries.
Our technology stack includes the foundational NVIDIA CUDA development platform that runs on all NVIDIA GPUs, as well as hundreds of domain-specific software libraries, frameworks, algorithms, software development kits, or SDKs, and application programming interfaces, or APIs. This deep and broad software stack accelerates the performance and facilitates the deployment of NVIDIA accelerated computing for computationally intensive workloads such as artificial intelligence, or AI, model training and inference, data analytics, scientific computing, robotics, and 3D graphics, with vertical-specific optimizations to address industries ranging from healthcare and telecom to automotive and manufacturing.
Introduced with the Blackwell architecture, our data-center-scale offerings feature extreme co-design where the infrastructure’s chips, networking, systems, software, and algorithms are holistically architected and optimized to maximize performance and scale. Hundreds of thousands of GPUs can be interconnected to function as a single giant computer. This type of data center architecture and scale is needed for the development and deployment of modern AI and accelerated computing applications.
The GPU was initially used to simulate human imagination, enabling the virtual worlds of video games and films. Today, it also simulates human intelligence, enabling a deeper understanding of language, science, and the physical world. Its parallel processing capabilities, supported by tens of thousands of computing cores, are essential for deep learning algorithms. This form of AI, in which software writes itself by learning from large amounts of data, can serve as the brain of computers, robots, and self-driving cars that can perceive, understand and reason about the world. GPU-powered AI solutions are being developed by thousands of enterprises to deliver services and products that would have been immensely difficult or even impossible with traditional coding. Examples include generative AI, which can create new content such as text, code, images, audio, video, molecule structures, and recommendation systems; and agentic AI where systems of AI models work in concert to automatically complete a task.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 25, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
The IA view
Risk Intelligence
Production core
88
Fundamentally Qualified
+1.4 vs Jun 30, 2026
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Long-Term Potential
Research model
82
Elite Compounder
+40.4 vs Jun 30, 2026
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Momentum
Research model
61
Accelerating
+25.1 vs Jun 30, 2026
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Elite Investor Activity
Supplemental
54
Mid range
0 vs Jun 30, 2026
27 tracked managers disclosed a position for this period.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Company intelligence
NVDA score history
Each area is measured and reported separately. No combined score exists.
NVDA intelligence history from 2023-09-30 to 2026-09-11. Risk Intelligence 87.5 on 2026-09-11, up 1.4 from 86.1 on 2026-06-30. Long-Term Potential 81.7 on 2026-09-11, up 40.4 from 41.3 on 2026-06-30. Fundamental Momentum 60.5 on 2026-09-11, up 25.1 from 35.4 on 2026-06-30. Elite Investor Activity 53.7 on 2026-09-11, unchanged 0 from 53.7 on 2026-06-30. Each area is reported separately and is never combined into a single score.
Risk Intelligence 87.5 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+1.4 vs prior period) · Production core
Long-Term Potential 81.7 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+40.4 vs prior period) · Research model
Fundamental Momentum 60.5 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+25.1 vs prior period) · Research model
Elite Investor Activity 53.7 as of Sep 11, 2026 (0 vs prior period) · Supplemental
Share price
NVDA price history
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Past prices do not indicate future results.
- 6M change
- +19.5%
- 1Y change
- +23.5%
- 3Y change
- +381.3%
- 5Y change
- +885.7%
- Max change
- +3564.4%
Last stored close $218.29 · +23.5% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Why IA likes it
- Business Quality meets the frozen IA Defensive qualification.
- More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
Risk and uncertainty
What IA doesn’t like
- Price Risk is currently in the higher-risk category.
- The Fundamental Momentum research model shows deterioration.
What would change our view
- Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
- Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
- A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
- New material public ownership disclosures.
Public filings · descriptive only
Elite Investor Activity
Reporting holders
77
New holders
52
Increasing
11
Reducing
11
Exiting
0
Coverage
Excellent
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2023-09-30 · Public 12/27/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
What changed
- Risk Intelligence
IA Defensive weakened
Business Quality qualification score moved from 86.1 to 84.5.
- Long-Term Potential
IA Compounder strengthened
IA Compounder research score moved from 41.3 to 75.1.
- Fundamental Momentum
Fundamental Momentum improved
Fundamental Momentum research score moved from 35.4 to 62.9.
- Long-Term Potential
IA Compounder softened
IA Compounder research score moved from 75.9 to 41.3.
- Fundamental Momentum
Fundamental Momentum improved
Fundamental Momentum research score moved from 12.8 to 35.4.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 65 to 54 for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 46 to 65 for the reporting period ending 2026-03-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers initiated positions
3 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-03-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 58 to 46 for the reporting period ending 2025-12-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers initiated positions
2 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2025-12-31.
Ownership timeline
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.