Risk Intelligence
63 / 100
Exit Review
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
LITE · NASDAQ
Sector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$927.03
-0.93%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Updated 6/30/2026
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
Sector unavailable · Data confidence good
35 / 100
Rank #553 of 1,152 qualified companies
Top 80% · Not Currently Suggested
63 / 100
Exit Review
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
34 / 100
Not Scored
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
65 / 100
Not Scored
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
53 / 100
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
28 / 100
Expensive
Is today's price reasonable?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
43 / 100
Moderate Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INC scores 34 on Long-Term Potential (F), described by the research model as not scored. This describes business characteristics only — it is not a forecast of future returns.
Disclosed ownership evidence reads 53 (D+): Positive disclosed activity. 6 tracked managers disclosed a position in the latest reporting period. Ownership filings are historical disclosures, not signals.
LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INC reads 28 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Expensive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INC reads 43 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting no measurable direct capital returns. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare LITE with other companiesResearch Collections
This company does not currently satisfy any collection rule. That is a stored research result, not a judgement about the business.
Browse collectionsAbout a minute to read
Written from stored research readings only. No hype. No trading signals. Just better evidence.
LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INC (LITE) scores 35 out of 100 and ranks #553 of 1,152 qualified companies today. That places it in the top 80% of ranked companies. The stored tier for that score is not currently suggested.
Risk Intelligence reads 63 out of 100 (C), recorded as exit review. Around the middle of the covered universe.
Long-Term Potential reads 34 out of 100 (F), recorded as not scored. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Fundamental Momentum reads 65 out of 100 (C+), recorded as not scored. Around the middle of the covered universe.
Ownership Intelligence reads 53 out of 100 (D+), recorded as positive disclosed activity. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Valuation is currently the main point of caution: Valuation Intelligence reads 28 out of 100 (F), recorded as Expensive. LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INC reads 28 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Expensive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital Returns Intelligence reads 43 out of 100 (D), recorded as Moderate Capital Returns. LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INC reads 43 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting no measurable direct capital returns. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
This company is in Exit Review under the existing quality rules, which is the most serious caution the research records can carry.
No individual layer reaches the strongest band today. Long-Term Potential and Ownership Intelligence remain the main area to watch. Separately from the score, valuation reads expensive at today's price.
Composite discovery model
Pro Investor Score™
35 / 100
A 0–100 composite discovery score combining Risk Intelligence, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, and Ownership Intelligence. It helps rank qualified companies for further research and does not predict future returns.
30% contribution
30% contribution
20% contribution
20% contribution
53 / 100 · Moderately Positive · 20% of the Pro Investor Score
Coverage: Good
50% of Ownership Intelligence · 10% of the total score
Tracked professional-manager activity is mixed.
20% of Ownership Intelligence · 4% of the total score
Broad institutional evidence from resolved filings is strong.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No discretionary insider transactions are stored for this company, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No qualifying major-holder filings are stored, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
Ownership Intelligence summarizes publicly disclosed activity among professional investment managers, broader institutions, company insiders, and significant strategic owners. It adds context to investment research but is not a validated predictor of future performance. Ownership information is publicly reported with a delay; the latest applicable reporting period is 2026-06-30, publicly disclosed 9/11/2026. Congressional activity is unavailable pending legal review and contributes nothing to this reading.
Improving fundamentals
Recent reported business trends rank among the strongest in the qualified universe.
Risk Intelligence is less favourable
Defensive characteristics rank below the middle of the qualified universe.
Long-term potential is mid-pack
Long-Term Potential ranks below the qualified median. This remains a research model.
Ownership evidence is not uniformly supportive
Disclosed elite investor activity evidence is weak or neutral. Ownership evidence is supplemental and never automatically positive.
Ownership evidence disagrees
Different owner groups point in different directions, so the combined reading is best read as mixed rather than uniformly favourable.
Price Risk is less favourable
Price Risk sits in the higher category relative to other qualified companies.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Data coverage Excellent. Rankings are recalculated daily using the latest available information. Individual components may update at different frequencies based on when new financial and ownership data becomes available.
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 28 · Expensive
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 43 · Moderate Capital Returns
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Score explanation
Four research areas carry fixed weights. Each area is compared against every other eligible company, then weighted. The four contributions below add to 34.9 of the stored score (34.9).
Risk Intelligence
30% of the score · contributes 13.8 points
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Stands at the 46 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 63 · 40% of this company’s total score
How financially sturdy the company has been when conditions turned against it.
Risk Intelligence reads stored balance-sheet strength, historical downside behaviour and the company's price-risk grouping. A stronger reading describes past resilience; it does not protect against future losses.
Full methodologyLong-Term Potential
30% of the score · contributes 2.6 points
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Stands at the 9 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 34 · 7% of this company’s total score
Whether the business has the durable characteristics long-term owners look for.
Long-Term Potential reads durability characteristics such as profitability consistency, cash generation and reinvestment capability over multiple reported periods.
Full methodologyFundamental Momentum
20% of the score · contributes 15.4 points
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Stands at the 77 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 65 · 44% of this company’s total score
Whether the reported business results have been getting stronger or weaker.
Fundamental Momentum compares recent reported fundamentals with the company's own earlier periods, so improvement or deterioration is measured against its history rather than against a forecast.
Full methodologyOwnership Intelligence
20% of the score · contributes 3.2 points
What are important owners actually doing?
Stands at the 16 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 53 · 9% of this company’s total score
What large reporting owners have actually been doing with their positions.
Ownership Intelligence reads public ownership filings: how many tracked reporting owners hold the company, and whether they were adding, holding, reducing or exiting in the latest disclosed period.
Full methodologyAdditional research — not currently included in the primary Suggested Investment Score.
Reported by insiders, large shareholders and professional funds. Shown beside our research, never blended into it.
Loading professional-investor activity…
Stored snapshots only
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Expensive
5
Expensive
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
4
Expensive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
20
Expensive
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
100
Very Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INC reads 28 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Expensive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 27, 2026
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current EV/Sales 27.5x · own median 3.7x · peer median 2.9x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Moderate Capital Returns
—
Not Applicable — No Dividend
Dividend reliability
This company currently retains rather than distributes cash through dividends. Capital Returns Intelligence therefore places more emphasis on its other measurable shareholder-return behaviors according to the frozen V1 methodology.
5
Limited Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
The company spends on share repurchases, but much of that activity offsets share issuance rather than materially reducing the share count.
45
Moderate Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
93
Exceptional Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
37
Limited Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INC reads 43 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting no measurable direct capital returns. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash.
This company currently retains rather than distributes cash through dividends. Capital Returns Intelligence therefore places more emphasis on its other measurable shareholder-return behaviors according to the frozen V1 methodology.
This company spent cash repurchasing stock, but the share count did not fall meaningfully because it also issued shares. Repurchase spending alone did not increase existing shareholders' ownership.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $0.00 · net repurchases $29.88M · total returned $29.88M · 9% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 27, 2026
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Pro Investor Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
| Today | #553 | Score 35 |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | Not yet suggested | |
| Highest rank | #553 | |
In the company’s own words
Lumentum Holdings Inc. ("we," "us," "our", "Lumentum" or the "Company") is a global leader in optical and photonic technologies and an industry-leading provider of optical and photonic products based on revenue and market share. Our products are essential to a range of cloud, artificial intelligence and machine learning ("AI/ML"), telecommunications, consumer, and industrial end-market applications. We operate in one reportable segment as a single, integrated enterprise. See "Note 17. Operating Segments and Geographic Information" to the consolidated financial statements.
We disaggregate revenue by type of product, which are Components and Systems, and by geography. A Components product is defined as one of the individual building blocks that goes into creating a larger solution. It is typically not a complete solution on its own but rather a specialized element that enables system functionality. This includes semiconductor laser chips, laser sub-assemblies, line subsystems and wavelength management systems. These are supplied to customers who then integrate them into their own full system solutions. Components represent foundational parts that support or enable that system’s operation and include optical chips and subsystems that are supplied to cloud data center operators, AI/ML infrastructure providers, and network equipment manufacturer customers.
A Systems product is defined as a complete, stand-alone solution that delivers full functionality to the end customer. It is typically self-contained and ready to operate within a customer’s network or application environment. This includes optical modules, optical circuit switches, and industrial lasers such as short-pulse solid-state lasers and kilowatt-class fiber lasers. These products integrate multiple technologies and subsystems into a finished solution that directly addresses a customer’s needs. A system represents the end-product that can be deployed and used independently.
Our products enable high-capacity optical links for cloud computing, AI/ML workloads, and data center interconnect ("DCI") applications, as well as for communications service provider networks. Our offerings support access (local), metro (intracity), long-haul (intercity and global), and submarine (undersea) network infrastructure. Our products serve enterprise network infrastructure needs, including storage area networks ("SANs"), local area networks ("LANs"), and wide area networks ("WANs"). Demand for our products is fueled by the ongoing expansion of network capacity required to support cloud services, AI/ML processing, streaming video, video conferencing, wireless and mobile connectivity, and the internet of things ("IoT"). In addition, our industrial laser products are used for precision material processing across diverse industries, including semiconductor and microelectronics fabrication, electric vehicle and battery production, metal cutting and welding, and advanced manufacturing that emphasize greater manufacturing precision, flexibility, and sustainability.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed August 17, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
63
Fundamentally Qualified
+44.8 vs Jun 30, 2026
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
34
Weak Compounder
No prior period to compare
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
65
Accelerating
No prior period to compare
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
42
Lower range
0 vs Jun 30, 2026
Only 6 tracked managers disclosed a position — treat as limited coverage.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Company intelligence
Each area is measured and reported separately. No combined score exists.
LITE intelligence history from 2023-09-30 to 2026-09-11. Risk Intelligence 63.4 on 2026-09-11, up 44.8 from 18.6 on 2026-06-30. Long-Term Potential 34.4 on 2026-09-11. Fundamental Momentum 65.2 on 2026-09-11. Elite Investor Activity 41.7 on 2026-09-11, unchanged 0 from 41.7 on 2026-06-30. Each area is reported separately and is never combined into a single score.
Risk Intelligence 63.4 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+44.8 vs prior period) · Production core
Long-Term Potential 34.4 as of Sep 11, 2026 · Research model
Fundamental Momentum 65.2 as of Sep 11, 2026 · Research model
Elite Investor Activity 41.7 as of Sep 11, 2026 (0 vs prior period) · Supplemental
Share price
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Past prices do not indicate future results.
Last stored close $927.03 · +462.2% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Risk and uncertainty
Public filings · descriptive only
Reporting holders
4
New holders
3
Increasing
0
Reducing
1
Exiting
1
Coverage
Good
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2022-12-31 · Public 12/19/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
IA Defensive improved
Business Quality qualification score moved from 18.6 to 39.7.
Tracked managers exited positions
2 tracked managers no longer disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-09-11.
IA Defensive improved
Business Quality qualification score moved from 16.6 to 18.6.
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 60 to 42 for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
Tracked managers exited positions
2 tracked managers no longer disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
Exit Review triggered
Business Quality fell below the Exit Review threshold. Exit Review is a prompt for review, never an automatic sell.
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 25 to 60 for the reporting period ending 2026-03-31.
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 50 to 25 for the reporting period ending 2025-12-31.
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 100 to 50 for the reporting period ending 2025-09-30.
Tracked managers initiated positions
2 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2025-06-30.
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.