Risk Intelligence
Core Model
C−
58 / 100
Fundamentally Qualified
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
Suggestions
CTRA · Exchange unavailable
CTRA
Private betaSector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$32.56
-8.62%
Close on May 6, 2026
Defensively Qualified
Updated 3/31/2026
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
CTRA
Sector unavailable · Data confidence good
40 / 100
Rank #486 of 1,152 qualified companies
Top 71% · Not Currently Suggested
Long-Term Potential
Research Model
D+
54 / 100
Ordinary Compounder
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Fundamental Momentum
Research Model
B−
73 / 100
Accelerating
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Above average on this measure.
Ownership Intelligence
Supplemental Intelligence
F
24 / 100
Insufficient Coverage
What are important owners actually doing?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Valuation Intelligence
Research Model
C+
67 / 100
Attractive
Is today's price reasonable?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Capital Returns Intelligence
Research Model
D
45 / 100
Moderate Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Why it stands out
- Business Quality meets the frozen IA Defensive qualification.
- Attractive valuation: the stock reads 67 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence (Attractive) relative to its own history and comparable companies.
What holds it back
- Ownership evidence is incomplete and should not be read as comprehensive.
Long-term view
CTRA scores 54 on Long-Term Potential (D+), described by the research model as ordinary compounder. This describes business characteristics only — it is not a forecast of future returns.
Ownership view
Disclosed ownership evidence reads 24 (F): Insufficient Coverage. 3 tracked managers disclosed a position in the latest reporting period. Ownership filings are historical disclosures, not signals.
Valuation view
COTERRA ENERGY INC reads 67 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital returns view
COTERRA ENERGY INC reads 45 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 27.1% a year and a share count rising about 13.7% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What changed
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare CTRA with other companiesAppears in
Rule-based membership
Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.
About a minute to read
The 60-Second Investment Brief
Written from stored research readings only. No hype. No trading signals. Just better evidence.
Why it's interesting
CTRA (CTRA) scores 40 out of 100 and ranks #486 of 1,152 qualified companies today. That places it in the top 71% of ranked companies. The stored tier for that score is not currently suggested.
Business strength
Risk Intelligence reads 58 out of 100 (C−), recorded as fundamentally qualified. Around the middle of the covered universe.
Long-term opportunity
Long-Term Potential reads 54 out of 100 (D+), recorded as ordinary compounder. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
What's improving or weakening
Fundamental Momentum reads 73 out of 100 (B−), recorded as accelerating. Above average on this measure.
What important owners are doing
Ownership Intelligence reads 24 out of 100 (F), recorded as insufficient coverage. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
What kind of price you'd be paying
Valuation currently appears favourable: Valuation Intelligence reads 67 out of 100 (C+), recorded as Attractive. COTERRA ENERGY INC reads 67 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
How the company rewards shareholders
Capital Returns Intelligence reads 45 out of 100 (D), recorded as Moderate Capital Returns. COTERRA ENERGY INC reads 45 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 27.1% a year and a share count rising about 13.7% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What could go wrong
Ownership evidence is incomplete and should not be read as comprehensive. Data confidence for this company is good.
Bottom line
No individual layer reaches the strongest band today. Risk Intelligence and Long-Term Potential and Ownership Intelligence remain the main area to watch. Separately from the score, valuation reads attractive at today's price.
Composite discovery model
Suggested Investment Score
Suggested Investment Score
40 / 100
Not Currently Suggested
A 0–100 composite discovery score combining Risk Intelligence, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, and Ownership Intelligence. It helps rank qualified companies for further research and does not predict future returns.
- Rank
- #486 of 694
- Percentile
- Top 71%
- Ranking updated
- September 12, 2026
254Rank weakened by 254 positions. Rank weakened by 254 positions.
- Risk Intelligence
- 58
- Long-Term Potential
- 54
- Fundamental Momentum
- 73
- Ownership Intelligence
- 24
30% contribution
30% contribution
20% contribution
20% contribution
Ownership Intelligence
24 / 100 · Weak · 20% of the Suggested Investment Score
SUPPLEMENTAL / DESCRIPTIVE INTELLIGENCE
Coverage: Good
- Elite Investor Activity
- 0 · Weak
- Institutional Activity
- 84 · Strong
- Insider Activity
- Insufficient Data
- Strategic Ownership
- Insufficient Data
50% of Ownership Intelligence · 10% of the total score
Tracked professional-manager activity is weak.
20% of Ownership Intelligence · 4% of the total score
Broad institutional evidence from resolved filings is strong.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No discretionary insider transactions are stored for this company, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No qualifying major-holder filings are stored, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
Ownership Intelligence summarizes publicly disclosed activity among professional investment managers, broader institutions, company insiders, and significant strategic owners. It adds context to investment research but is not a validated predictor of future performance. Ownership information is publicly reported with a delay; the latest applicable reporting period is 2026-06-30, publicly disclosed 9/11/2026. Congressional activity is unavailable pending legal review and contributes nothing to this reading.
Why it ranks here
Improving fundamentals
Recent reported business trends rank among the strongest in the qualified universe.
What holds it back
Risk Intelligence is less favourable
Defensive characteristics rank below the middle of the qualified universe.
Long-term potential is mid-pack
Long-Term Potential ranks below the qualified median. This remains a research model.
Ownership evidence is not uniformly supportive
Disclosed elite investor activity evidence is weak or neutral. Ownership evidence is supplemental and never automatically positive.
Ownership evidence disagrees
Different owner groups point in different directions, so the combined reading is best read as mixed rather than uniformly favourable.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Data coverage Excellent. Rankings are recalculated daily using the latest available information. Individual components may update at different frequencies based on when new financial and ownership data becomes available.
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 67 · Attractive
RESEARCH MODEL
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 45 · Moderate Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Score explanation
Why this company scores the way it does
Four research areas carry fixed weights. Each area is compared against every other eligible company, then weighted. The four contributions below add to 39.9 of the stored score (39.9).
Risk Intelligence
30% of the score · contributes 7.7 points
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Stands at the 26 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 58 · 19% of this company’s total score
How financially sturdy the company has been when conditions turned against it.
How this area is measured
Risk Intelligence reads stored balance-sheet strength, historical downside behaviour and the company's price-risk grouping. A stronger reading describes past resilience; it does not protect against future losses.
Full methodologyLong-Term Potential
30% of the score · contributes 14.4 points
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Stands at the 48 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 54 · 36% of this company’s total score
Whether the business has the durable characteristics long-term owners look for.
How this area is measured
Long-Term Potential reads durability characteristics such as profitability consistency, cash generation and reinvestment capability over multiple reported periods.
Full methodologyFundamental Momentum
20% of the score · contributes 17.7 points
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Stands at the 88 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 73 · 44% of this company’s total score
Whether the reported business results have been getting stronger or weaker.
How this area is measured
Fundamental Momentum compares recent reported fundamentals with the company's own earlier periods, so improvement or deterioration is measured against its history rather than against a forecast.
Full methodologyOwnership Intelligence
20% of the score · contributes 0.2 points
What are important owners actually doing?
Stands at the 1 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 24 · 0% of this company’s total score
What large reporting owners have actually been doing with their positions.
How this area is measured
Ownership Intelligence reads public ownership filings: how many tracked reporting owners hold the company, and whether they were adding, holding, reducing or exiting in the latest disclosed period.
Full methodology
What is helping the score
- Fundamental Momentum — 88 percentile, adding 17.7 points.
What deserves attention
- Ownership Intelligence — 1 percentile, adding only 0.2 of a possible 20 points.
- Risk Intelligence — 26 percentile, adding only 7.7 of a possible 30 points.
Outside the score
Additional research — not currently included in the primary Suggested Investment Score.
- Valuation Intelligence — COTERRA ENERGY INC reads 67 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
- Capital Returns Intelligence — COTERRA ENERGY INC reads 45 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 27.1% a year and a share count rising about 13.7% a year.
Stored snapshots only
What changed
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Learn the metrics on this page
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence
Is today's price reasonable?
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
67/ 100
Attractive
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Compared with its history
63
Attractive
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
Compared with peers
38
Elevated
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
Earnings & cash flow
76
Very Attractive
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
Growth-adjusted
100
Very Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
COTERRA ENERGY INC reads 67 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through May 6, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended March 31, 2026
Valuation history
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current EV/Sales 3.6x · own median 4.9x · peer median 2.6x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
45/ 100
Moderate Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Dividend Quality
75
Strong Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
Buyback Effectiveness
30
Limited Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
The company spends on share repurchases, but much of that activity offsets share issuance rather than materially reducing the share count.
Dilution Control
5
Limited Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
Capital Return Sustainability
88
Exceptional Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
Shareholder Yield
5
Limited Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
COTERRA ENERGY INC reads 45 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 27.1% a year and a share count rising about 13.7% a year.
This company spent cash repurchasing stock, but the share count did not fall meaningfully because it also issued shares. Repurchase spending alone did not increase existing shareholders' ownership.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $673.00M · net repurchases $152.00M · total returned $825.00M · 42% of free cash flow
Price data through May 6, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended March 31, 2026
Capital returns history
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
Why higher yield isn't always better
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Why buybacks can be misleading
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
What these terms mean
- Dividend Yield
- The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
- Payout Ratio
- The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
- Free Cash Flow Payout
- How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
- Share Repurchases
- When a company buys back its own stock.
- Dilution
- When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
- Shareholder Yield
- A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
Ranking history
| Today | #486 | Score 40 |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | Not yet suggested | |
| Highest rank | #486 | |
Four distinct intelligence areas
The IA view
Risk Intelligence
Production core
58
Fundamentally Qualified
+3.4 vs Mar 31, 2026
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Long-Term Potential
Research model
54
Ordinary Compounder
+6.5 vs Mar 31, 2026
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Momentum
Research model
73
Accelerating
-13.6 vs Mar 31, 2026
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Elite Investor Activity
Supplemental
0
Bottom range
0 vs Jun 30, 2026
Only 3 tracked managers disclosed a position — treat as limited coverage.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Company intelligence
CTRA score history
Each area is measured and reported separately. No combined score exists.
CTRA intelligence history from 2023-09-30 to 2026-09-11. Risk Intelligence 57.8 on 2026-09-11, up 3.4 from 54.4 on 2026-03-31. Long-Term Potential 53.8 on 2026-09-11, up 6.5 from 47.3 on 2026-03-31. Fundamental Momentum 73.4 on 2026-09-11, down 13.6 from 87 on 2026-03-31. Elite Investor Activity 0 on 2026-09-11, unchanged 0 from 0 on 2026-06-30. Each area is reported separately and is never combined into a single score.
Risk Intelligence 57.8 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+3.4 vs prior period) · Production core
Long-Term Potential 53.8 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+6.5 vs prior period) · Research model
Fundamental Momentum 73.4 as of Sep 11, 2026 (-13.6 vs prior period) · Research model
Elite Investor Activity 0 as of Sep 11, 2026 (0 vs prior period) · Supplemental
Share price
CTRA price history
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through May 6, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.
- 6M change
- +27.9%
- 1Y change
- +45.6%
- 3Y change
- +46.6%
- 5Y change
- +138.7%
- Max change
- +152.2%
Last stored close $32.56 · +45.6% over the selected range · 64 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Why IA likes it
- Business Quality meets the frozen IA Defensive qualification.
Risk and uncertainty
What IA doesn’t like
- Ownership evidence is incomplete and should not be read as comprehensive.
What would change our view
- Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
- Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
- A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
- New material public ownership disclosures.
Public filings · descriptive only
Elite Investor Activity
Reporting holders
—
New holders
—
Increasing
—
Reducing
—
Exiting
—
Coverage
Insufficient
Insufficient Coverage · Report period unavailable · Public date unavailable
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
What changed
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers exited positions
3 tracked managers no longer disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-09-11.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 20 to 0 for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers exited positions
3 tracked managers no longer disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 42 to 20 for the reporting period ending 2026-03-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers exited positions
2 tracked managers no longer disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-03-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 92 to 42 for the reporting period ending 2025-12-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 83 to 92 for the reporting period ending 2025-09-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 75 to 83 for the reporting period ending 2025-06-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 58 to 75 for the reporting period ending 2025-03-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 100 to 58 for the reporting period ending 2024-12-31.
Ownership timeline
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.