Risk Intelligence
Core Model
C−
57 / 100
Exit Review
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
Suggestions
CVX · NYSE
CHEVRON CORP
Private betaEnergy · Integrated Oil and Gas
$214.06
+0.61%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Exit Review
Updated 6/30/2026
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
CHEVRON CORP
Energy · Integrated Oil and Gas · Data confidence good
36 / 100
Rank #533 of 1,152 qualified companies
Top 77% · Not Currently Suggested
Long-Term Potential
Research Model
D+
54 / 100
Not Scored
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Fundamental Momentum
Research Model
C−
59 / 100
Not Scored
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
Ownership Intelligence
Supplemental Intelligence
D
48 / 100
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Valuation Intelligence
Research Model
C−
58 / 100
Reasonable
Is today's price reasonable?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Capital Returns Intelligence
Research Model
D
46 / 100
Moderate Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Why it stands out
- More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
What holds it back
- Business Quality is below the frozen Exit Review threshold.
Long-term view
CHEVRON CORP scores 54 on Long-Term Potential (D+), described by the research model as not scored. This describes business characteristics only — it is not a forecast of future returns.
Ownership view
Disclosed ownership evidence reads 48 (D): Positive disclosed activity. 21 tracked managers disclosed a position in the latest reporting period. Ownership filings are historical disclosures, not signals.
Valuation view
CHEVRON CORP reads 58 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital returns view
CHEVRON CORP reads 46 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 4.8% a year and a share count rising about 0.5% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What changed
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare CVX with other companiesResearch Collections
This company does not currently satisfy any collection rule. That is a stored research result, not a judgement about the business.
Browse collectionsAbout a minute to read
The 60-Second Investment Brief
Written from stored research readings only. No hype. No trading signals. Just better evidence.
Why it's interesting
CHEVRON CORP (CVX) scores 36 out of 100 and ranks #533 of 1,152 qualified companies today. That places it in the top 77% of ranked companies. The stored tier for that score is not currently suggested.
Business strength
Risk Intelligence reads 57 out of 100 (C−), recorded as exit review. Around the middle of the covered universe.
Long-term opportunity
Long-Term Potential reads 54 out of 100 (D+), recorded as not scored. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
What's improving or weakening
Fundamental Momentum reads 59 out of 100 (C−), recorded as not scored. Around the middle of the covered universe.
What important owners are doing
Ownership Intelligence reads 48 out of 100 (D), recorded as positive disclosed activity. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
What kind of price you'd be paying
Valuation currently appears reasonable: Valuation Intelligence reads 58 out of 100 (C−), recorded as Reasonable. CHEVRON CORP reads 58 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
How the company rewards shareholders
Capital Returns Intelligence reads 46 out of 100 (D), recorded as Moderate Capital Returns. CHEVRON CORP reads 46 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 4.8% a year and a share count rising about 0.5% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What could go wrong
This company is in Exit Review under the existing quality rules, which is the most serious caution the research records can carry.
Bottom line
No individual layer reaches the strongest band today. Risk Intelligence and Long-Term Potential and Fundamental Momentum and Ownership Intelligence remain the main area to watch. Separately from the score, valuation reads reasonable at today's price.
Composite discovery model
Pro Investor Score
Pro Investor Score™
36 / 100
Not Currently Suggested
A 0–100 composite discovery score combining Risk Intelligence, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, and Ownership Intelligence. It helps rank qualified companies for further research and does not predict future returns.
- Rank
- #533 of 694
- Percentile
- Top 77%
- Ranking updated
- September 12, 2026
296Rank weakened by 296 positions. Rank weakened by 296 positions.
- Risk Intelligence
- 57
- Long-Term Potential
- 54
- Fundamental Momentum
- 59
- Ownership Intelligence
- 48
30% contribution
30% contribution
20% contribution
20% contribution
Ownership Intelligence
48 / 100 · Mixed · 20% of the Pro Investor Score
SUPPLEMENTAL / DESCRIPTIVE INTELLIGENCE
Coverage: Good
- Elite Investor Activity
- 33 · Weak
- Institutional Activity
- 85 · Strong
- Insider Activity
- Insufficient Data
- Strategic Ownership
- Insufficient Data
50% of Ownership Intelligence · 10% of the total score
Tracked professional-manager activity is weak.
20% of Ownership Intelligence · 4% of the total score
Broad institutional evidence from resolved filings is strong.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No discretionary insider transactions are stored for this company, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No qualifying major-holder filings are stored, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
Ownership Intelligence summarizes publicly disclosed activity among professional investment managers, broader institutions, company insiders, and significant strategic owners. It adds context to investment research but is not a validated predictor of future performance. Ownership information is publicly reported with a delay; the latest applicable reporting period is 2026-06-30, publicly disclosed 9/11/2026. Congressional activity is unavailable pending legal review and contributes nothing to this reading.
Why it ranks here
No component ranks in the top quartile of the qualified universe.
What holds it back
Risk Intelligence is less favourable
Defensive characteristics rank below the middle of the qualified universe.
Long-term potential is mid-pack
Long-Term Potential ranks below the qualified median. This remains a research model.
Ownership evidence is not uniformly supportive
Disclosed elite investor activity evidence is weak or neutral. Ownership evidence is supplemental and never automatically positive.
Ownership evidence disagrees
Different owner groups point in different directions, so the combined reading is best read as mixed rather than uniformly favourable.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Data coverage Excellent. Rankings are recalculated daily using the latest available information. Individual components may update at different frequencies based on when new financial and ownership data becomes available.
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 58 · Reasonable
RESEARCH MODEL
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 46 · Moderate Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Score explanation
Why this company scores the way it does
Four research areas carry fixed weights. Each area is compared against every other eligible company, then weighted. The four contributions below add to 36.5 of the stored score (36.5).
Risk Intelligence
30% of the score · contributes 6.4 points
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Stands at the 21 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 57 · 18% of this company’s total score
How financially sturdy the company has been when conditions turned against it.
How this area is measured
Risk Intelligence reads stored balance-sheet strength, historical downside behaviour and the company's price-risk grouping. A stronger reading describes past resilience; it does not protect against future losses.
Full methodologyLong-Term Potential
30% of the score · contributes 14.9 points
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Stands at the 50 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 54 · 41% of this company’s total score
Whether the business has the durable characteristics long-term owners look for.
How this area is measured
Long-Term Potential reads durability characteristics such as profitability consistency, cash generation and reinvestment capability over multiple reported periods.
Full methodologyFundamental Momentum
20% of the score · contributes 13.1 points
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Stands at the 65 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 59 · 36% of this company’s total score
Whether the reported business results have been getting stronger or weaker.
How this area is measured
Fundamental Momentum compares recent reported fundamentals with the company's own earlier periods, so improvement or deterioration is measured against its history rather than against a forecast.
Full methodologyOwnership Intelligence
20% of the score · contributes 2.0 points
What are important owners actually doing?
Stands at the 10 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 48 · 6% of this company’s total score
What large reporting owners have actually been doing with their positions.
How this area is measured
Ownership Intelligence reads public ownership filings: how many tracked reporting owners hold the company, and whether they were adding, holding, reducing or exiting in the latest disclosed period.
Full methodology
What is helping the score
- Fundamental Momentum — 65 percentile, adding 13.1 points.
What deserves attention
- Ownership Intelligence — 10 percentile, adding only 2.0 of a possible 20 points.
- Risk Intelligence — 21 percentile, adding only 6.4 of a possible 30 points.
Outside the score
Additional research — not currently included in the primary Suggested Investment Score.
- Valuation Intelligence — CHEVRON CORP reads 58 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
- Capital Returns Intelligence — CHEVRON CORP reads 46 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 4.8% a year and a share count rising about 0.5% a year.
Pro Investor Intelligence™
Reported by insiders, large shareholders and professional funds. Shown beside our research, never blended into it.
Loading professional-investor activity…
Stored snapshots only
What changed
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Learn the metrics on this page
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence
Is today's price reasonable?
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
58/ 100
Reasonable
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Compared with its history
32
Expensive
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
Compared with peers
48
Reasonable
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
Earnings & cash flow
67
Attractive
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
Growth-adjusted
96
Very Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
CHEVRON CORP reads 58 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Valuation history
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current P/E 20.5x · own median 16.8x · peer median 16.8x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
46/ 100
Moderate Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Dividend Quality
82
Strong Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
Buyback Effectiveness
5
Limited Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
The company spends on share repurchases, but much of that activity offsets share issuance rather than materially reducing the share count.
Dilution Control
30
Limited Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
Capital Return Sustainability
62
Favorable Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
Shareholder Yield
57
Favorable Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
CHEVRON CORP reads 46 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 4.8% a year and a share count rising about 0.5% a year.
This company spent cash repurchasing stock, but the share count did not fall meaningfully because it also issued shares. Repurchase spending alone did not increase existing shareholders' ownership.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $13.86B · net repurchases $9.90B · total returned $23.77B · 84% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Capital returns history
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
Why higher yield isn't always better
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Why buybacks can be misleading
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
What these terms mean
- Dividend Yield
- The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
- Payout Ratio
- The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
- Free Cash Flow Payout
- How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
- Share Repurchases
- When a company buys back its own stock.
- Dilution
- When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
- Shareholder Yield
- A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Pro Investor Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
Ranking history
| Today | #533 | Score 36 |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | Not yet suggested | |
| Highest rank | #533 | |
In the company’s own words
What this company does
Information required by Subpart 1200 of Regulation S-K ("Disclosure by Registrants Engaged in Oil and Gas Producing Activities") is also contained in Item 1 and in Tables I through VII on pages 108 through 120 and Note 18 Properties, Plant and Equipment .
The following is a description of legal proceedings that involve governmental authorities as a party and that the company reasonably believes would result in $1.0 million or more of monetary sanctions, exclusive of interest and costs, under federal, state and local laws that have been enacted or adopted regulating the discharge of materials into the environment or primarily for the purpose of protecting the environment.
As previously disclosed, on May 20, 2024, the New Mexico Environment Department issued a Notice of Violation (NOV) for alleged violations of state and federal regulations of air quality between October 2022 and September 2023 at different Chevron facilities in New Mexico. Resolution of the alleged violations may result in the payment of a civil penalty of $1.0 million or more.
As previously disclosed, on May 26, 2023, Chevron’s refinery in El Segundo, California notified the U.S. EPA that it had inadvertently overstated the number of biofuel credits generated by co-processing in 2022 in violation of the Renewable Fuel Standard program. The parties began negotiating a resolution of the violation in October 2024. Resolution of the violation will result in the payment of a civil penalty of $1.0 million or more.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 24, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
The IA view
Risk Intelligence
Production core
57
Fundamentally Qualified
+24.4 vs Jun 30, 2026
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Long-Term Potential
Research model
54
Ordinary Compounder
No prior period to compare
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Momentum
Research model
59
Accelerating
No prior period to compare
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Elite Investor Activity
Supplemental
33
Lower range
0 vs Jun 30, 2026
21 tracked managers disclosed a position for this period.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Company intelligence
CVX score history
Each area is measured and reported separately. No combined score exists.
CVX intelligence history from 2023-09-30 to 2026-09-11. Risk Intelligence 56.7 on 2026-09-11, up 24.4 from 32.3 on 2026-06-30. Long-Term Potential 54.2 on 2026-09-11. Fundamental Momentum 59.4 on 2026-09-11. Elite Investor Activity 33.3 on 2026-09-11, unchanged 0 from 33.3 on 2026-06-30. Each area is reported separately and is never combined into a single score.
Risk Intelligence 56.7 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+24.4 vs prior period) · Production core
Long-Term Potential 54.2 as of Sep 11, 2026 · Research model
Fundamental Momentum 59.4 as of Sep 11, 2026 · Research model
Elite Investor Activity 33.3 as of Sep 11, 2026 (0 vs prior period) · Supplemental
Share price
CVX price history
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.
- 6M change
- +10.6%
- 1Y change
- +40.6%
- 3Y change
- +46.0%
- 5Y change
- +168.7%
- Max change
- +136.8%
Last stored close $214.06 · +40.6% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Why IA likes it
- More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
Risk and uncertainty
What IA doesn’t like
- Business Quality is below the frozen Exit Review threshold.
What would change our view
- Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
- Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
- A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
- New material public ownership disclosures.
Public filings · descriptive only
Elite Investor Activity
Reporting holders
71
New holders
49
Increasing
10
Reducing
9
Exiting
1
Coverage
Excellent
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2023-09-30 · Public 12/27/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
What changed
- Risk Intelligence
IA Defensive improved
Business Quality qualification score moved from 32.3 to 50.4.
- Risk Intelligence
Price Risk category changed
Price Risk moved from Not Available to Lower risk.
- Risk Intelligence
IA Defensive weakened
Business Quality qualification score moved from 40.1 to 32.3.
- Risk Intelligence
Exit Review triggered
Business Quality fell below the Exit Review threshold. Exit Review is a prompt for review, never an automatic sell.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 57 to 33 for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers initiated positions
4 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-03-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers exited positions
2 tracked managers no longer disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2025-06-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers initiated positions
2 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2025-03-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 94 to 56 for the reporting period ending 2024-12-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers initiated positions
4 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2024-12-31.
Ownership timeline
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.