Risk Intelligence
Not Available
Insufficient Data
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
TOL · NYSE
Sector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$134.92
+1.84%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Updated 12/20/2023
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
Sector unavailable · Data confidence partial
No Suggested Investment Score today
SCORE_PENDING_OWNERSHIP
Not Available
Insufficient Data
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Not Available
Insufficient Data
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Not Available
Insufficient Data
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Not Available
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
58 / 100
Reasonable
Is today's price reasonable?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
85 / 100
Exceptional Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Among the strongest readings on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
No weakening evidence is recorded in today's readings.
Long-Term Potential is not available for this company, so no long-term reading is shown.
No disclosed ownership reading is available at the required confidence, so ownership is left blank rather than estimated.
TOLL BROTHERS INC reads 58 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
TOLL BROTHERS INC reads 85 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Exceptional Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 19.2% a year and a share count falling about 5.5% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare TOL with other companiesAppears in
Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.
60-Second Brief
Too few stored readings exist for this company to summarise honestly.
Composite discovery model
Suggested Investment Score
A composite score is only published when every required input is available for this company. Nothing is estimated to fill a gap, and exclusion from the ranking is not a sell instruction.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Ranking updated September 12, 2026
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 58 · Reasonable
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 85 · Exceptional Capital Returns
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
This company does not currently hold a stored Suggested Investment Score, so no contribution breakdown can be shown.
Stored snapshots only
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Reasonable
38
Elevated
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
75
Very Attractive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
80
Very Attractive
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
39
Elevated
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
TOLL BROTHERS INC reads 58 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended July 31, 2026
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current P/E 10.4x · own median 9.2x · peer median 12.7x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Exceptional Capital Returns
95
Exceptional Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
89
Exceptional Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
93
Exceptional Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
62
Favorable Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
86
Exceptional Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
TOLL BROTHERS INC reads 85 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Exceptional Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 19.2% a year and a share count falling about 5.5% a year.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $97.29M · net repurchases $695.27M · total returned $792.56M · 73% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended July 31, 2026
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
| Today | Not ranked | No stored score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | Not yet suggested | |
| Highest rank | Not ranked | |
In the company’s own words
Toll Brothers, Inc., a corporation incorporated in Delaware in May 1986, began doing business through predecessor entities in 1967. When this report uses the words "we," "us," "our," and the "Company," it refers to Toll Brothers, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless the context otherwise requires. References herein to fiscal year refer to our fiscal years ended or ending October 31.
We design, build, market, sell, and arrange financing for an array of luxury residential single-family detached home, attached home, master-planned, and urban low-, mid-, and high-rise communities. In recent years, we have pursued a strategy of broadening our product lines, price points and geographic footprint, as well as increasing the number of quick move-in (or "spec") homes that we sell relative to our traditional build-to-order homes. We cater to luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester (move-down), active-adult and second-home buyers in the United States. We also design, build, market, and sell high-density, high-rise urban luxury condominiums with third-party joint venture partners through Toll Brothers City Living ("City Living"). At October 31, 2025, we were operating in 24 states and in the District of Columbia.
In the five years ended October 31, 2025, we delivered 52,203 homes from 1,061 communities, including 11,292 homes from 556 communities in fiscal 2025. At October 31, 2025, we had 1,137 communities in various stages of planning, development or operations containing approximately 76,100 home sites that we owned or controlled through options. At fiscal year-end, we were selling from 446 of these communities.
Backlog consists of homes under contract but not yet delivered to our home buyers. We had a backlog of $5.49 billion (4,647 homes) at October 31, 2025; we expect to deliver approximately 98% of these homes in fiscal 2026.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed December 19, 2025. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
67
Fundamentally Qualified
No prior period to compare
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
59
Elite Compounder
No prior period to compare
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
33
Deteriorating
No prior period to compare
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
—
Insufficient Data
No prior period to compare
No tracked manager filings mapped to this company.
Not enough stored history to chart TOL yet. A company needs at least two published research or ownership periods before a trend can be shown.
Share price
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Past prices do not indicate future results.
Last stored close $134.92 · -7.5% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Risk and uncertainty
Public filings · descriptive only
Reporting holders
4
New holders
1
Increasing
2
Reducing
1
Exiting
0
Coverage
Excellent
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2021-06-30 · Public 12/20/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
No qualifying changes are recorded for this company in the stored research and filing history.
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.