Risk Intelligence
Core Model
B+
82 / 100
Fundamentally Qualified
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Above average on this measure.
Suggestions
ABNB · NASDAQ
AIRBNB INC
Private betaSector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$170.19
+1.52%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Defensively Qualified
Updated 6/30/2026
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
AIRBNB INC
Sector unavailable · Data confidence good
63 / 100
Rank #162 of 1,152 qualified companies
Top 24% · Watch
Long-Term Potential
Research Model
C
62 / 100
Ordinary Compounder
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
Fundamental Momentum
Research Model
F
34 / 100
Deteriorating
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Ownership Intelligence
Supplemental Intelligence
B
78 / 100
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
Above average on this measure.
Valuation Intelligence
Research Model
D
48 / 100
Reasonable
Is today's price reasonable?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Capital Returns Intelligence
Research Model
C
65 / 100
Favorable Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Why it stands out
- Business Quality meets the frozen IA Defensive qualification.
- More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
What holds it back
- The Fundamental Momentum research model shows deterioration.
Long-term view
AIRBNB INC scores 62 on Long-Term Potential (C), described by the research model as ordinary compounder. This describes business characteristics only — it is not a forecast of future returns.
Ownership view
Disclosed ownership evidence reads 78 (B): Positive disclosed activity. 6 tracked managers disclosed a position in the latest reporting period. Ownership filings are historical disclosures, not signals.
Valuation view
AIRBNB INC reads 48 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital returns view
AIRBNB INC reads 65 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a share count falling about 0.7% a year. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What changed
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare ABNB with other companiesAppears in
Rule-based membership
Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.
About a minute to read
The 60-Second Investment Brief
Written from stored research readings only. No hype. No trading signals. Just better evidence.
Why it's interesting
AIRBNB INC (ABNB) scores 63 out of 100 and ranks #162 of 1,152 qualified companies today. That places it in the top 24% of ranked companies. The stored tier for that score is watch.
Business strength
Risk Intelligence reads 82 out of 100 (B+), recorded as fundamentally qualified. Above average on this measure.
Long-term opportunity
Long-Term Potential reads 62 out of 100 (C), recorded as ordinary compounder. Around the middle of the covered universe.
What's improving or weakening
Fundamental Momentum reads 34 out of 100 (F), recorded as deteriorating. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
What important owners are doing
Ownership Intelligence reads 78 out of 100 (B), recorded as positive disclosed activity. Above average on this measure.
What kind of price you'd be paying
Valuation currently appears reasonable: Valuation Intelligence reads 48 out of 100 (D), recorded as Reasonable. AIRBNB INC reads 48 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
How the company rewards shareholders
Capital Returns Intelligence reads 65 out of 100 (C), recorded as Favorable Capital Returns. AIRBNB INC reads 65 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a share count falling about 0.7% a year. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What could go wrong
The Fundamental Momentum research model shows deterioration. Data confidence for this company is good.
Bottom line
Its strongest recorded evidence is Risk Intelligence. Fundamental Momentum remains the main area to watch. Separately from the score, valuation reads reasonable at today's price.
Composite discovery model
Suggested Investment Score
Suggested Investment Score
63 / 100
Watch
A 0–100 composite discovery score combining Risk Intelligence, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, and Ownership Intelligence. It helps rank qualified companies for further research and does not predict future returns.
- Rank
- #162 of 694
- Percentile
- Top 25%
- Ranking updated
- September 12, 2026
96Rank weakened by 96 positions. Rank weakened by 96 positions.
- Risk Intelligence
- 82
- Long-Term Potential
- 62
- Fundamental Momentum
- 34
- Ownership Intelligence
- 78
30% contribution
30% contribution
20% contribution
20% contribution
Ownership Intelligence
78 / 100 · Positive · 20% of the Suggested Investment Score
SUPPLEMENTAL / DESCRIPTIVE INTELLIGENCE
Coverage: Good
- Elite Investor Activity
- 75 · Positive
- Institutional Activity
- 84 · Strong
- Insider Activity
- Insufficient Data
- Strategic Ownership
- Insufficient Data
50% of Ownership Intelligence · 10% of the total score
Tracked professional-manager activity is positive.
20% of Ownership Intelligence · 4% of the total score
Broad institutional evidence from resolved filings is strong.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No discretionary insider transactions are stored for this company, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No qualifying major-holder filings are stored, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
Ownership Intelligence summarizes publicly disclosed activity among professional investment managers, broader institutions, company insiders, and significant strategic owners. It adds context to investment research but is not a validated predictor of future performance. Ownership information is publicly reported with a delay; the latest applicable reporting period is 2026-06-30, publicly disclosed 9/11/2026. Congressional activity is unavailable pending legal review and contributes nothing to this reading.
Why it ranks here
Strong risk profile
Risk Intelligence ranks in the top 5% of qualified companies, with lower_risk price risk.
What holds it back
Fundamental Momentum is softer
Reported business trends rank below the qualified median.
Ownership evidence is not uniformly supportive
The combined disclosed ownership evidence ranks below the qualified median.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Data coverage Excellent. Rankings are recalculated daily using the latest available information. Individual components may update at different frequencies based on when new financial and ownership data becomes available.
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 48 · Reasonable
RESEARCH MODEL
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 65 · Favorable Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Score explanation
Why this company scores the way it does
Four research areas carry fixed weights. Each area is compared against every other eligible company, then weighted. The four contributions below add to 63.2 of the stored score (63.2).
Risk Intelligence
30% of the score · contributes 28.5 points
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Stands at the 95 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 82 · 45% of this company’s total score
How financially sturdy the company has been when conditions turned against it.
How this area is measured
Risk Intelligence reads stored balance-sheet strength, historical downside behaviour and the company's price-risk grouping. A stronger reading describes past resilience; it does not protect against future losses.
Full methodologyLong-Term Potential
30% of the score · contributes 21.5 points
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Stands at the 72 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 62 · 34% of this company’s total score
Whether the business has the durable characteristics long-term owners look for.
How this area is measured
Long-Term Potential reads durability characteristics such as profitability consistency, cash generation and reinvestment capability over multiple reported periods.
Full methodologyFundamental Momentum
20% of the score · contributes 3.8 points
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Stands at the 19 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 34 · 6% of this company’s total score
Whether the reported business results have been getting stronger or weaker.
How this area is measured
Fundamental Momentum compares recent reported fundamentals with the company's own earlier periods, so improvement or deterioration is measured against its history rather than against a forecast.
Full methodologyOwnership Intelligence
20% of the score · contributes 9.5 points
What are important owners actually doing?
Stands at the 47 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 78 · 15% of this company’s total score
What large reporting owners have actually been doing with their positions.
How this area is measured
Ownership Intelligence reads public ownership filings: how many tracked reporting owners hold the company, and whether they were adding, holding, reducing or exiting in the latest disclosed period.
Full methodology
What is helping the score
- Risk Intelligence — 95 percentile, adding 28.5 points.
- Long-Term Potential — 72 percentile, adding 21.5 points.
What deserves attention
- Fundamental Momentum — 19 percentile, adding only 3.8 of a possible 20 points.
Outside the score
Additional research — not currently included in the primary Suggested Investment Score.
- Valuation Intelligence — AIRBNB INC reads 48 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
- Capital Returns Intelligence — AIRBNB INC reads 65 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a share count falling about 0.7% a year. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash.
Stored snapshots only
What changed
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Learn the metrics on this page
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence
Is today's price reasonable?
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
48/ 100
Reasonable
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Compared with its history
54
Reasonable
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
Compared with peers
26
Expensive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
Earnings & cash flow
52
Reasonable
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
Growth-adjusted
61
Reasonable
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
AIRBNB INC reads 48 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Valuation history
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current P/E 37.9x · own median 33.6x · peer median 24.1x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
65/ 100
Favorable Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Good coverage
Dividend Quality
—
Not Applicable — No Dividend
Dividend reliability
This company currently retains rather than distributes cash through dividends. Capital Returns Intelligence therefore places more emphasis on its other measurable shareholder-return behaviors according to the frozen V1 methodology.
Buyback Effectiveness
88
Exceptional Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
Dilution Control
51
Moderate Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
Capital Return Sustainability
62
Favorable Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
Shareholder Yield
40
Limited Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
AIRBNB INC reads 65 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a share count falling about 0.7% a year. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash.
This company currently retains rather than distributes cash through dividends. Capital Returns Intelligence therefore places more emphasis on its other measurable shareholder-return behaviors according to the frozen V1 methodology.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $0.00 · net repurchases $3.98B · total returned $3.98B · 82% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Capital returns history
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
Why higher yield isn't always better
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Why buybacks can be misleading
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
What these terms mean
- Dividend Yield
- The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
- Payout Ratio
- The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
- Free Cash Flow Payout
- How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
- Share Repurchases
- When a company buys back its own stock.
- Dilution
- When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
- Shareholder Yield
- A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
Ranking history
| Today | #162 | Score 63 |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | September 12, 2026 | |
| Highest rank | #162 | |
In the company’s own words
What this company does
Airbnb was founded in 2007 when two hosts welcomed three guests to their San Francisco home, and has since grown into a global community of over 5 million hosts who have welcomed over 2.5 billion guest arrivals in almost every country and region across the globe. Every day, hosts offer unique stays, experiences, and services that enable guests to connect with communities in a more authentic way. We operate a global marketplace connecting guests with stays, experiences, and services, collectively in over 220 countries and regions. Our offerings have expanded to include services and redesigned experiences, which launched in May 2025.
We operate with five key stakeholders in mind: our employees, shareholders, hosts, guests, and the communities we serve. Our commitment to making long-term decisions that benefit all these stakeholders is fundamental to our sustained success.
Our key strategic priorities include making our service better, bringing Airbnb to more parts of the world, and expanding what we offer. Over the past several years, we have introduced hundreds of new features and upgrades to our platform spanning nearly every part of our service from pricing to quality to customer support. Additionally, we are leveraging our global markets strategy, which includes a more localized approach to product updates and marketing to raise awareness and consideration in less mature markets. We are also extending our platform beyond stays with new offerings, such as Airbnb Services and redesigned experiences, with plans to continue to expand our business beyond travel accommodations using our multi-year product roadmap to help drive long-term growth.
We built our platform to seamlessly onboard new hosts, especially those who previously had not considered hosting. We partner with hosts throughout the process of setting up their listings and provide them with a robust suite of tools to successfully manage their listings, including scheduling, merchandising, integrated payments, community support, host protections, pricing tools, and feedback from reviews. In addition, we provide the Co-Host Network, which connects potential and existing hosts with co-hosts who can help manage their listings. Co-hosts are experienced hosts who provide personalized support based on the hosts’ needs, from listing setup to managing bookings and communicating with guests. In 2025, we continued to deliver host improvements, including updates to cancellation policies that make it easier for hosts to earn income, better pricing tools and price tips, and a refreshed messages tab.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 12, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
The IA view
Risk Intelligence
Production core
82
Fundamentally Qualified
+6.4 vs Jun 30, 2026
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Long-Term Potential
Research model
62
Elite Compounder
+7.5 vs Jun 30, 2026
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Momentum
Research model
34
Deteriorating
+4.3 vs Jun 30, 2026
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Elite Investor Activity
Supplemental
75
Upper range
0 vs Jun 30, 2026
Only 6 tracked managers disclosed a position — treat as limited coverage.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Company intelligence
ABNB score history
Each area is measured and reported separately. No combined score exists.
ABNB intelligence history from 2023-09-30 to 2026-09-11. Risk Intelligence 81.8 on 2026-09-11, up 6.4 from 75.4 on 2026-06-30. Long-Term Potential 61.7 on 2026-09-11, up 7.5 from 54.2 on 2026-06-30. Fundamental Momentum 34.3 on 2026-09-11, up 4.3 from 30 on 2026-06-30. Elite Investor Activity 75 on 2026-09-11, unchanged 0 from 75 on 2026-06-30. Each area is reported separately and is never combined into a single score.
Risk Intelligence 81.8 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+6.4 vs prior period) · Production core
Long-Term Potential 61.7 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+7.5 vs prior period) · Research model
Fundamental Momentum 34.3 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+4.3 vs prior period) · Research model
Elite Investor Activity 75 as of Sep 11, 2026 (0 vs prior period) · Supplemental
Share price
ABNB price history
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.
- 6M change
- +29.0%
- 1Y change
- +38.3%
- 3Y change
- +17.6%
- 5Y change
- +1.2%
- Max change
- +17.6%
Last stored close $170.19 · +38.3% over the selected range · 64 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Why IA likes it
- Business Quality meets the frozen IA Defensive qualification.
- More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
Risk and uncertainty
What IA doesn’t like
- The Fundamental Momentum research model shows deterioration.
What would change our view
- Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
- Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
- A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
- New material public ownership disclosures.
Public filings · descriptive only
Elite Investor Activity
Reporting holders
31
New holders
24
Increasing
1
Reducing
4
Exiting
0
Coverage
Excellent
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2023-09-30 · Public 12/21/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
What changed
- Risk Intelligence
Price Risk category changed
Price Risk moved from Not Available to Normal risk.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers initiated positions
2 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-09-11.
- Fundamental Momentum
Fundamental Momentum softened
Fundamental Momentum research score moved from 43.2 to 30.0.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 50 to 75 for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Tracked managers initiated positions
2 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 25 to 50 for the reporting period ending 2026-03-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 63 to 25 for the reporting period ending 2025-12-31.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 50 to 63 for the reporting period ending 2025-09-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 38 to 50 for the reporting period ending 2025-06-30.
- Elite Investor Activity
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 75 to 38 for the reporting period ending 2025-03-31.
Ownership timeline
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.