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ADTN · NASDAQ

ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC

Private beta

Sector unavailable · Industry unavailable

$7.54

+5.01%

Close on Sep 11, 2026

Insufficient Data

Updated 12/19/2023

Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.

Investment Report Card

ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC

Sector unavailable · Data confidence insufficient

No Suggested Investment Score today

Risk Intelligence is unavailable

Risk Intelligence

Core Model

Not Available

Insufficient Data

How strong and defensively sound is the company?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Long-Term Potential

Research Model

Not Available

Insufficient Data

Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Fundamental Momentum

Research Model

Not Available

Insufficient Data

Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Ownership Intelligence

Supplemental Intelligence

Not Available

Positive disclosed activity

What are important owners actually doing?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Valuation Intelligence

Research Model
B

78 / 100

Very Attractive

Is today's price reasonable?

Above average on this measure — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.

Capital Returns Intelligence

Research Model
F

31 / 100

Limited Capital Returns

How effectively does the company reward shareholders?

Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.

Why it stands out

  • More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
  • Attractive valuation: the stock reads 78 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence (Very Attractive) relative to its own history and comparable companies.

What holds it back

No weakening evidence is recorded in today's readings.

Long-term view

Long-Term Potential is not available for this company, so no long-term reading is shown.

Ownership view

No disclosed ownership reading is available at the required confidence, so ownership is left blank rather than estimated.

Valuation view

ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC reads 78 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Very Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.

Capital returns view

ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC reads 31 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 13.0% a year and a share count rising about 10.4% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.

What changed

No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.

Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Compare ADTN with other companies

Appears in

Rule-based membership

Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.

60-Second Brief

Too few stored readings exist for this company to summarise honestly.

Composite discovery model

Suggested Investment Score

Suggested Investment Score

Not currently in the Suggested Investment ranking

Risk Intelligence is unavailable. A composite score is only published when every required input is available for this company. Nothing is estimated to fill a gap, and exclusion from the ranking is not a sell instruction.

COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Ranking updated September 12, 2026

Researched separately

Valuation Intelligence 78 · Very Attractive

RESEARCH MODEL

Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.

Researched separately

Capital Returns Intelligence 31 · Limited Capital Returns

RESEARCH MODEL

Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.

Why this company scores the way it does

This company does not currently hold a stored Suggested Investment Score, so no contribution breakdown can be shown.

Stored snapshots only

What changed

Research-score history available since September 2026.

Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.

A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.

Learn the metrics on this page

Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.

Fifth research lens · outside the score

Valuation Intelligence

Valuation Intelligence

Is today's price reasonable?

Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.

78/ 100

Very Attractive

RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage

Compared with its history

82

Very Attractive

Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?

Compared with peers

94

Very Attractive

How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?

Earnings & cash flow

76

Very Attractive

How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?

Growth-adjusted

55

Reasonable

Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?

ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC reads 78 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Very Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.

Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026

Valuation history

Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.

Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.

Current EV/EBITDA 8.0x · own median 29.8x · peer median 24.5x

Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.

Sixth research lens · outside the score

Capital Returns Intelligence

Capital Returns Intelligence

How effectively does the company reward shareholders?

Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.

31/ 100

Limited Capital Returns

RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage

Dividend Quality

62

Favorable Capital Returns

Dividend reliability

Buyback Effectiveness

30

Limited Capital Returns

Do buybacks actually reduce shares?

No net share repurchases are recorded in the stored cash-flow statements.

Dilution Control

5

Limited Capital Returns

Is your ownership share protected?

Capital Return Sustainability

Not Available

Can the cash flow support it?

The company returned no measurable capital in the latest period, so there is nothing to sustain.

Shareholder Yield

5

Limited Capital Returns

Cash returned versus company value

ADTRAN HOLDINGS INC reads 31 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 13.0% a year and a share count rising about 10.4% a year.

No measurable cash was returned to shareholders through dividends or net repurchases in the latest stored statements.

Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026

Capital returns history

Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.

Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.

Why higher yield isn't always better

A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.

Why buybacks can be misleading

Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.

What these terms mean
Dividend Yield
The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
Payout Ratio
The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
Free Cash Flow Payout
How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
Share Repurchases
When a company buys back its own stock.
Dilution
When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
Shareholder Yield
A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.

Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.

Stored daily snapshots only

Ranking history

Stored Suggested Investment ranking history
TodayNot rankedNo stored score
30 days agoNot rankedNo stored score
90 days agoNot rankedNo stored score
First suggestedNot yet suggested
Highest rankNot ranked

In the company’s own words

What this company does

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ("Adtran" or the "Company") is a leading global provider of networking and communications platforms, software, systems and services focused on the metro optical transport, data center interconnect, and broadband access market, serving a diverse domestic and international customer base in multiple countries that includes large, medium and small Service Providers, alternative Service Providers, such as utilities, municipalities and fiber overbuilders, cable/MSOs, SMBs and distributed enterprises, including Fortune 500 companies with sophisticated business continuity applications; hyper-scalers, neocloud and content providers and data center companies; and federal, state and local government agencies.

We are focused on being a top global supplier of fiber-based communications infrastructure and AI-driven operations including SaaS applications spanning from the network core to the cloud edge (data centers) to the subscriber edge (customer premises) serving both the residential and enterprise connectivity markets, including fiber-based infrastructure for mobile networks. We offer a broad portfolio of flexible network infrastructure solutions, customer premises equipment, software applications, and global services and support that enable Service Providers to meet their service demands now and in the future. These products and services enable Service Providers to transition to a common network supporting the simplified delivery of high-capacity services, regardless of subscriber density, network topology and infrastructure diversity. We support our customers through our direct global sales organization and our distribution networks. Our success depends upon our ability to have customers adopt our technology, and increase unit volume and market share through the introduction of new products and succeeding generations of products having optimal selling prices and increased functionality as compared to both the prior generation of a product and to the products of competitors in order to gain market share. To service our customers and grow revenue, we are continually conducting research and developing new products addressing customer needs and testing those products for the specific requirements of the particular customers.

We solely own ADTRAN, Inc. and are the majority shareholder of Adtran Networks. ADTRAN, Inc. is a leading global provider of open, disaggregated networking and communications solutions. Adtran Networks is a global provider of network solutions for data, storage, voice and video services. We believe that the combined technology portfolio can best address current and future customer needs for high-speed connectivity from the network core to the end consumer, especially upon the convergence of solutions at the network edge.

We operate in two business segments: (1) Network Solutions, which includes hardware and software products, and (2) Services & Support, which includes a portfolio of network design and implementation services, support services and AI-driven operations including cloud-hosted SaaS applications that complement our product portfolio and can also be utilized to support other platforms. These two segments span across our three revenue categories: (1) Subscriber Solutions, (2) Access & Aggregation Solutions and (3) Optical Networking Solutions. See "Reportable Segments" below for a detailed discussion of these reportable segments and revenue categories.

Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 26, 2026. Read the filing

Four distinct intelligence areas

The IA view

Risk Intelligence

Production core

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.

Long-Term Potential

Research model

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.

Fundamental Momentum

Research model

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.

Elite Investor Activity

Supplemental

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Too few tracked managers disclosed a position to describe consensus.

Intelligence history

Not enough stored history to chart ADTN yet. A company needs at least two published research or ownership periods before a trend can be shown.

Share price

ADTN price history

Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.

6M change
-24.7%
1Y change
-28.9%
3Y change
-6.7%
5Y change
-59.3%
Max change
-17.2%

Last stored close $7.54 · -28.9% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown

Balanced evidence

Why IA likes it

  • More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.

Risk and uncertainty

What IA doesn’t like

  • No specific negative evidence is available. This is not evidence of low risk.

What would change our view

  • Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
  • Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
  • A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
  • New material public ownership disclosures.

Public filings · descriptive only

Elite Investor Activity

Reporting holders

7

New holders

4

Increasing

3

Reducing

0

Exiting

0

Coverage

Excellent

Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2022-12-31 · Public 12/19/2023

ManagerChangePortfolio weightRankDisclosed

Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.

Objective stored changes

What changed

No qualifying changes are recorded for this company in the stored research and filing history.

Ownership timeline

No high-confidence public ownership events are available.

General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.