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BAER · NASDAQ

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLDINGS INC

Private beta

Sector unavailable · Industry unavailable

$1.04

0.00%

Close on Sep 11, 2026

Insufficient Data

Updated date unavailable

Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.

Investment Report Card

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLDINGS INC

Sector unavailable · Data confidence limited

No Suggested Investment Score today

Risk Intelligence is unavailable

Risk Intelligence

Core Model

Not Available

Insufficient Data

How strong and defensively sound is the company?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Long-Term Potential

Research Model

Not Available

Insufficient Data

Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Fundamental Momentum

Research Model

Not Available

Insufficient Data

Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Ownership Intelligence

Supplemental Intelligence

Not Available

Insufficient Coverage

What are important owners actually doing?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Valuation Intelligence

Research Model
D

43 / 100

Elevated

Is today's price reasonable?

Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.

Capital Returns Intelligence

Research Model
F

10 / 100

Limited Capital Returns

How effectively does the company reward shareholders?

Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.

Why it stands out

No strengthening evidence is recorded in today's readings.

What holds it back

  • Ownership evidence is incomplete and should not be read as comprehensive.
  • Elevated valuation: the current market price reflects a premium to this company's historical valuation and comparable companies (Valuation Intelligence 43 out of 100, Elevated).

Long-term view

Long-Term Potential is not available for this company, so no long-term reading is shown.

Ownership view

No disclosed ownership reading is available at the required confidence, so ownership is left blank rather than estimated.

Valuation view

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLDINGS INC reads 43 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Elevated. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.

Capital returns view

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLDINGS INC reads 10 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a share count rising about 5.5% a year. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.

What changed

No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.

Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Compare BAER with other companies

Research Collections

This company does not currently satisfy any collection rule. That is a stored research result, not a judgement about the business.

Browse collections

60-Second Brief

Too few stored readings exist for this company to summarise honestly.

Composite discovery model

Suggested Investment Score

Suggested Investment Score

Not currently in the Suggested Investment ranking

Risk Intelligence is unavailable. A composite score is only published when every required input is available for this company. Nothing is estimated to fill a gap, and exclusion from the ranking is not a sell instruction.

COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Ranking updated September 12, 2026

Researched separately

Valuation Intelligence 43 · Elevated

RESEARCH MODEL

Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.

Researched separately

Capital Returns Intelligence 10 · Limited Capital Returns

RESEARCH MODEL

Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.

Why this company scores the way it does

This company does not currently hold a stored Suggested Investment Score, so no contribution breakdown can be shown.

Stored snapshots only

What changed

Research-score history available since September 2026.

Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.

A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.

Learn the metrics on this page

Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.

Fifth research lens · outside the score

Valuation Intelligence

Valuation Intelligence

Is today's price reasonable?

Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.

43/ 100

Elevated

RESEARCH MODEL
Good coverage

Compared with its history

72

Very Attractive

Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?

Compared with peers

33

Expensive

How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?

Earnings & cash flow

Not Available

How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?

No positive earnings or cash-flow yield is available, so this lens is not scored.

Growth-adjusted

10

Expensive

Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLDINGS INC reads 43 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Elevated. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.

Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026

Valuation history

Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.

Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.

Current EV/Sales 2.8x · own median 5.3x · peer median 2.4x

Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.

Sixth research lens · outside the score

Capital Returns Intelligence

Capital Returns Intelligence

How effectively does the company reward shareholders?

Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.

10/ 100

Limited Capital Returns

RESEARCH MODEL
Good coverage

Dividend Quality

Not Applicable — No Dividend

Dividend reliability

This company currently retains rather than distributes cash through dividends. Capital Returns Intelligence therefore places more emphasis on its other measurable shareholder-return behaviors according to the frozen V1 methodology.

Buyback Effectiveness

15

Limited Capital Returns

Do buybacks actually reduce shares?

No net share repurchases are recorded in the stored cash-flow statements.

Dilution Control

5

Limited Capital Returns

Is your ownership share protected?

Capital Return Sustainability

Not Available

Can the cash flow support it?

The company returned no measurable capital in the latest period, so there is nothing to sustain.

Shareholder Yield

5

Limited Capital Returns

Cash returned versus company value

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLDINGS INC reads 10 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a share count rising about 5.5% a year. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash.

This company currently retains rather than distributes cash through dividends. Capital Returns Intelligence therefore places more emphasis on its other measurable shareholder-return behaviors according to the frozen V1 methodology.

No measurable cash was returned to shareholders through dividends or net repurchases in the latest stored statements.

Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026

Capital returns history

Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.

Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.

Why higher yield isn't always better

A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.

Why buybacks can be misleading

Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.

What these terms mean
Dividend Yield
The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
Payout Ratio
The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
Free Cash Flow Payout
How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
Share Repurchases
When a company buys back its own stock.
Dilution
When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
Shareholder Yield
A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.

Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.

Stored daily snapshots only

Ranking history

Stored Suggested Investment ranking history
TodayNot rankedNo stored score
30 days agoNot rankedNo stored score
90 days agoNot rankedNo stored score
First suggestedNot yet suggested
Highest rankNot ranked

In the company’s own words

What this company does

Bridger provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services using next-generation technology and environmentally friendly and sustainable firefighting methods primarily throughout the United States, as well as airframe modification and integration solutions for governmental and commercial customers. Our mission is to deploy the most advanced technologies in aviation to protect lives, property, critical infrastructure, and the environment, delivering these capabilities where they are needed most, from wildfire response to defense and beyond. Through innovation and the use of advanced technology and software, focusing on aerial firefighting, disaster response, government applications and public safety, Bridger aims to set the global standard in aviation services.

Bridger was founded in 2014 in Bozeman, Montana by Tim Sheehy, former U.S. Navy SEAL officer and current United States Senator. Mr. Sheehy, who served as the Company’s initial Chief Executive Officer, envisioned applying advanced aviation technologies and combat-derived capabilities developed in military operations to combat wildfires. Since its founding, Bridger has built upon this foundation and is expanding its specialized aerial capabilities beyond traditional wildfire suppression to include mission-adjacent services for governmental and commercial customers.

On January 24, 2023, Bridger completed a reverse recapitalization (the "Reverse Recapitalization") with Jack Creek Investment Corp. ("JCIC"). As a result of the Reverse Recapitalization, Bridger and its subsidiaries prior to the consummation of the Reverse Recapitalization and JCIC each became wholly-owned subsidiaries of the Company.

The current Chief Executive Officer, Sam Davis, was one of the original members of the Bridger leadership team. Mr. Davis rose through the ranks, contributing to the expansion of the fleet from a small number of legacy aircraft to its current scale and the broadening of the Company’s service offerings. Following Mr. Sheehy’s election to the United States Senate in 2024, Mr. Davis was appointed Chief Executive Officer by unanimous Board of Directors vote based on his successful leadership as Interim CEO. Under Mr. Davis’s stewardship, and with the support of a strong leadership team, the Company continues to pave the way as a full-spectrum aerial service provider in the field of aerial wildfire management, offering technology and services to provide front-line firefighters and incident commanders with critical fire data, overhead surveillance, and suppression support.

Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed March 6, 2026. Read the filing

Four distinct intelligence areas

The IA view

Risk Intelligence

Production core

44

Restricted

No prior period to compare

Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.

As of Sep 11, 2026

Long-Term Potential

Research model

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.

Fundamental Momentum

Research model

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.

Elite Investor Activity

Supplemental

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

No tracked manager filings mapped to this company.

Intelligence history

Not enough stored history to chart BAER yet. A company needs at least two published research or ownership periods before a trend can be shown.

Share price

BAER price history

Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.

6M change
-50.9%
1Y change
-45.5%
3Y change
-86.3%
5Y change
-89.3%
Max change
-90.0%

Last stored close $1.04 · -45.5% over the selected range · 64 sessions shown

Balanced evidence

Why IA likes it

  • No positive evidence is available under the current coverage.

Risk and uncertainty

What IA doesn’t like

  • Ownership evidence is incomplete and should not be read as comprehensive.

What would change our view

  • Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
  • Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
  • A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
  • New material public ownership disclosures.

Public filings · descriptive only

Elite Investor Activity

Reporting holders

New holders

Increasing

Reducing

Exiting

Coverage

Insufficient

Insufficient Coverage · Report period unavailable · Public date unavailable

ManagerChangePortfolio weightRankDisclosed

Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.

Objective stored changes

What changed

No qualifying changes are recorded for this company in the stored research and filing history.

Ownership timeline

No high-confidence public ownership events are available.

General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.