Suggestions

ERIE · NASDAQ

ERIE INDEMNITY CO

Private beta

Sector unavailable · Industry unavailable

$245.03

+1.93%

Close on Sep 11, 2026

Insufficient Data

Updated 6/30/2026

Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.

Investment Report Card

ERIE INDEMNITY CO

Sector unavailable · Data confidence insufficient

No Pro Investor Score today

Risk Intelligence is unavailable

Risk Intelligence

Core Model

Not Available

Not Scored

How strong and defensively sound is the company?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Long-Term Potential

Research Model

Not Available

Not Scored

Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Fundamental Momentum

Research Model

Not Available

Not Scored

Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Ownership Intelligence

Supplemental Intelligence

Not Available

Positive disclosed activity

What are important owners actually doing?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Valuation Intelligence

Research Model
C−

57 / 100

Reasonable

Is today's price reasonable?

Around the middle of the covered universe — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.

Capital Returns Intelligence

Research Model
C

60 / 100

Favorable Capital Returns

How effectively does the company reward shareholders?

Around the middle of the covered universe — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.

Why it stands out

  • More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.

What holds it back

No weakening evidence is recorded in today's readings.

Long-term view

Long-Term Potential is not available for this company, so no long-term reading is shown.

Ownership view

No disclosed ownership reading is available at the required confidence, so ownership is left blank rather than estimated.

Valuation view

ERIE INDEMNITY CO reads 57 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.

Capital returns view

ERIE INDEMNITY CO reads 60 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 4.7% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.

What changed

No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.

Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Compare ERIE with other companies

Research Collections

This company does not currently satisfy any collection rule. That is a stored research result, not a judgement about the business.

Browse collections

60-Second Brief

Too few stored readings exist for this company to summarise honestly.

Composite discovery model

Pro Investor Score

Pro Investor Score™

Not currently in the Suggested Investment ranking

Risk Intelligence is unavailable. A composite score is only published when every required input is available for this company. Nothing is estimated to fill a gap, and exclusion from the ranking is not a sell instruction.

COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Ranking updated September 12, 2026

Researched separately

Valuation Intelligence 57 · Reasonable

RESEARCH MODEL

Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.

Researched separately

Capital Returns Intelligence 60 · Favorable Capital Returns

RESEARCH MODEL

Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.

Why this company scores the way it does

This company does not currently hold a stored Pro Investor Score, so no contribution breakdown can be shown.

Pro Investor Intelligence™

Reported by insiders, large shareholders and professional funds. Shown beside our research, never blended into it.

Loading professional-investor activity…

Stored snapshots only

What changed

Research-score history available since September 2026.

Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.

A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.

Learn the metrics on this page

Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.

Fifth research lens · outside the score

Valuation Intelligence

Valuation Intelligence

Is today's price reasonable?

Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.

57/ 100

Reasonable

RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage

Compared with its history

97

Very Attractive

Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?

Compared with peers

23

Expensive

How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?

Earnings & cash flow

60

Reasonable

How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?

Growth-adjusted

35

Elevated

Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?

ERIE INDEMNITY CO reads 57 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.

Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026

Valuation history

Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.

Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.

Current P/E 19.6x · own median 28.1x · peer median 14.4x

Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.

Sixth research lens · outside the score

Capital Returns Intelligence

Capital Returns Intelligence

How effectively does the company reward shareholders?

Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.

60/ 100

Favorable Capital Returns

RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage

Dividend Quality

73

Strong Capital Returns

Dividend reliability

Buyback Effectiveness

42

Moderate Capital Returns

Do buybacks actually reduce shares?

No net share repurchases are recorded in the stored cash-flow statements.

Dilution Control

42

Moderate Capital Returns

Is your ownership share protected?

Capital Return Sustainability

88

Exceptional Capital Returns

Can the cash flow support it?

Shareholder Yield

53

Moderate Capital Returns

Cash returned versus company value

ERIE INDEMNITY CO reads 60 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 4.7% a year.

No measurable cash was returned to shareholders through dividends or net repurchases in the latest stored statements.

Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026

Capital returns history

Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.

Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.

Why higher yield isn't always better

A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.

Why buybacks can be misleading

Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.

What these terms mean
Dividend Yield
The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
Payout Ratio
The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
Free Cash Flow Payout
How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
Share Repurchases
When a company buys back its own stock.
Dilution
When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
Shareholder Yield
A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.

Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Pro Investor Score.

Stored daily snapshots only

Ranking history

Stored Suggested Investment ranking history
TodayNot rankedNo stored score
30 days agoNot rankedNo stored score
90 days agoNot rankedNo stored score
First suggestedNot yet suggested
Highest rankNot ranked

In the company’s own words

What this company does

Erie Indemnity Company ("Indemnity", "we", "us", "our") is a publicly held Pennsylvania business corporation that has since its incorporation in 1925 served as the attorney-in-fact for the subscribers (policyholders) at the Erie Insurance Exchange ("Exchange"). The Exchange, which also commenced business in 1925, is a Pennsylvania-domiciled reciprocal insurer that writes property and casualty insurance. The Exchange has wholly owned property and casualty insurance subsidiaries including: Erie Insurance Company, Erie Insurance Company of New York, Erie Insurance Property & Casualty Company and Flagship City Insurance Company, and a wholly owned life insurance company, Erie Family Life Insurance Company ("EFL").

Our primary function as attorney-in-fact is to perform policy issuance and renewal services on behalf of the subscribers at the Exchange. We also act as attorney-in-fact on behalf of the subscribers at the Exchange with respect to all claims handling and investment management services, as well as the service provider for all claims handling, life insurance, and investment management services for the Exchange's insurance subsidiaries, collectively referred to as "administrative services". Acting as attorney-in-fact in these two capacities is done in accordance with a subscriber's agreement (a limited power of attorney) executed individually by each subscriber (policyholder), which appoints Indemnity as each subscriber's attorney-in-fact to transact certain business on their behalf. In accordance with the subscriber's agreement for acting as attorney-in-fact in these two capacities, we retain a management fee calculated as a percentage, not to exceed 25%, of the direct and affiliated assumed premiums written by the Exchange. The management fee rate is set at least annually by our Board of Directors. The process of setting the management fee rate includes, but is not limited to, the evaluation of current year operating results compared to both prior year and industry estimated results for both Indemnity and the Exchange, and consideration of several factors for both entities including, but not limited to: their relative financial strength and capital position; projected revenue, expense and earnings for the subsequent year; future capital needs; as well as competitive position.

We operate under a single reportable segment: management operations. Financial information about this segment is set forth in and referenced to Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data - Note 4, Segment Information, of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" contained within this report. Further discussion of financial results for our single operating segment is provided in and referenced to Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" contained within this report.

The policy issuance and renewal services we provide on behalf of the subscribers at the Exchange are related to the sales, underwriting and issuance of policies. The sales related services we provide include agent compensation and certain sales and advertising support services. Agent compensation includes scheduled commissions to agents based upon premiums written as well as incentive compensation, which is earned by achieving targeted measures. Agent compensation comprised approximately 71% of our 2025 policy issuance and renewal expenses. The underwriting services we provide include underwriting and policy processing and comprised approximately 8% of our 2025 policy issuance and renewal expenses. The remaining services we provide include customer service and administrative support. We also provide information technology services that support all the functions listed above that comprised approximately 10% of our 2025 policy issuance and renewal expenses. Included in these expenses are allocations of costs for departments that support these policy issuance and renewal functions.

Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 23, 2026. Read the filing

Four distinct intelligence areas

The IA view

Risk Intelligence

Production core

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.

Long-Term Potential

Research model

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.

Fundamental Momentum

Research model

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.

Elite Investor Activity

Supplemental

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Too few tracked managers disclosed a position to describe consensus.

Company intelligence

ERIE score history

Each area is measured and reported separately. No combined score exists.

No intelligence measurements are available for ERIE between 2023-09-30 to 2026-09-11.

Share price

ERIE price history

Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.

6M change
+2.0%
1Y change
-26.0%
3Y change
-10.9%
5Y change
+49.6%
Max change
+70.1%

Last stored close $245.03 · -26.0% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown

Balanced evidence

Why IA likes it

  • More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.

Risk and uncertainty

What IA doesn’t like

  • No specific negative evidence is available. This is not evidence of low risk.

What would change our view

  • Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
  • Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
  • A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
  • New material public ownership disclosures.

Public filings · descriptive only

Elite Investor Activity

Reporting holders

6

New holders

5

Increasing

0

Reducing

1

Exiting

0

Coverage

Excellent

Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2022-12-31 · Public 12/19/2023

ManagerChangePortfolio weightRankDisclosed

Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.

Objective stored changes

What changed

No qualifying changes are recorded for this company in the stored research and filing history.

Ownership timeline

No high-confidence public ownership events are available.

General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.