Risk Intelligence
Core Model
—
Not Available
Insufficient Data
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Suggestions
ESTC · NYSE
ELASTIC NV
Private betaSector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$83.39
-0.11%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Insufficient Data
Updated date unavailable
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
ELASTIC NV
Sector unavailable · Data confidence partial
No Pro Investor Score today
SCORE_PENDING_OWNERSHIP
Long-Term Potential
Research Model
—
Not Available
Insufficient Data
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Fundamental Momentum
Research Model
—
Not Available
Insufficient Data
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Ownership Intelligence
Supplemental Intelligence
—
Not Available
Insufficient Coverage
What are important owners actually doing?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Valuation Intelligence
Research Model
C
63 / 100
Attractive
Is today's price reasonable?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Capital Returns Intelligence
Research Model
F
30 / 100
Limited Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Why it stands out
- Attractive valuation: the stock reads 63 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence (Attractive) relative to its own history and comparable companies.
What holds it back
- Ownership evidence is incomplete and should not be read as comprehensive.
Long-term view
Long-Term Potential is not available for this company, so no long-term reading is shown.
Ownership view
No disclosed ownership reading is available at the required confidence, so ownership is left blank rather than estimated.
Valuation view
ELASTIC NV reads 63 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital returns view
ELASTIC NV reads 30 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a share count rising about 2.8% a year. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What changed
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare ESTC with other companiesAppears in
Rule-based membership
Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.
60-Second Brief
Too few stored readings exist for this company to summarise honestly.
Composite discovery model
Pro Investor Score
Pro Investor Score™
Score Pending — Insufficient Ownership Coverage
A composite score is only published when every required input is available for this company. Nothing is estimated to fill a gap, and exclusion from the ranking is not a sell instruction.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Ranking updated September 12, 2026
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 63 · Attractive
RESEARCH MODEL
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 30 · Limited Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Why this company scores the way it does
This company does not currently hold a stored Pro Investor Score, so no contribution breakdown can be shown.
Pro Investor Intelligence™
Reported by insiders, large shareholders and professional funds. Shown beside our research, never blended into it.
Loading professional-investor activity…
Stored snapshots only
What changed
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Learn the metrics on this page
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence
Is today's price reasonable?
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
63/ 100
Attractive
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Compared with its history
87
Very Attractive
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
Compared with peers
32
Expensive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
Earnings & cash flow
53
Reasonable
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
Growth-adjusted
78
Very Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
ELASTIC NV reads 63 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended July 31, 2026
Valuation history
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current P/E 23.3x · peer median 27.9x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
30/ 100
Limited Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Dividend Quality
—
Not Applicable — No Dividend
Dividend reliability
This company currently retains rather than distributes cash through dividends. Capital Returns Intelligence therefore places more emphasis on its other measurable shareholder-return behaviors according to the frozen V1 methodology.
Buyback Effectiveness
42
Moderate Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
The company spends on share repurchases, but much of that activity offsets share issuance rather than materially reducing the share count.
Dilution Control
15
Limited Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
Capital Return Sustainability
32
Limited Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
Shareholder Yield
25
Limited Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
ELASTIC NV reads 30 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a share count rising about 2.8% a year. Direct capital returns are limited because the company continues reinvesting most of its cash.
This company currently retains rather than distributes cash through dividends. Capital Returns Intelligence therefore places more emphasis on its other measurable shareholder-return behaviors according to the frozen V1 methodology.
This company spent cash repurchasing stock, but the share count did not fall meaningfully because it also issued shares. Repurchase spending alone did not increase existing shareholders' ownership.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $0.00 · net repurchases $349.31M · total returned $349.31M · 100% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended July 31, 2026
Capital returns history
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
Why higher yield isn't always better
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Why buybacks can be misleading
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
What these terms mean
- Dividend Yield
- The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
- Payout Ratio
- The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
- Free Cash Flow Payout
- How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
- Share Repurchases
- When a company buys back its own stock.
- Dilution
- When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
- Shareholder Yield
- A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Pro Investor Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
Ranking history
| Today | Not ranked | No stored score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | Not yet suggested | |
| Highest rank | Not ranked | |
In the company’s own words
What this company does
Elastic, the Search AI Company, enables its customers to transform data into answers, actions, and outcomes with Search AI. While search technology revolutionized information retrieval through its ability to instantly return relevant results from massive datasets, it struggles when it comes to understanding context and generating insights. AI, on the other hand, excels at analyzing complex patterns and generating insights, but it lacks the ability to find and access specific information within vast data stores. The Elasticsearch Platform ("our platform") combines the precision of search with the intelligence of AI to help our customers and community solve real-time business problems, unlock potential value, and achieve better outcomes. Our platform, available as either a cloud service or a self-managed software, allows our customers to find insights and drive AI and machine learning use cases from large amounts of data.
We offer three Elasticsearch-powered solutions—Search & AI, Elastic Observability, and Elastic Security—that are built on our platform. We help organizations, their employees, and their customers find what they need faster, while keeping mission-critical applications and infrastructure running smoothly and protecting against cyber threats.
As digital transformation continues to drive mission-critical business functions towards increasingly complex data landscapes, we believe that every company must incorporate search AI capabilities across IT and line-of-business organizations to find the answers that matter from all of its data in real time and at scale.
Our platform is able to ingest data from any source, in any format, and perform search, analysis, and visualization of that data. With Elasticsearch at its core, our platform is a highly scalable document store, columnar database, and search engine and is the unified data store for all of our solutions and use cases. Featuring a common, solution-agnostic user interface with an embedded AI agent and support for third-party AI agents, our platform offers powerful drag-and-drop visual analytics, centralized management capabilities, and the world's most downloaded open source vector database, which gives developers a full suite of sophisticated retrieval algorithms and the ability to integrate with large language models ("LLM"). It delivers the comprehensive set of capabilities developers need to build, maintain, and secure next-generation applications and services. In addition, our out-of-the-box solutions (Elastic Observability and Elastic Security) deliver fast time-to-value for common use cases and, paired with our developer-centric platform which is extensible and customizable, allow us to innovate quickly and differentiate our offerings at every level.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed June 8, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
The IA view
Risk Intelligence
Production core
60
Fundamentally Qualified
No prior period to compare
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Long-Term Potential
Research model
49
Ordinary Compounder
No prior period to compare
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Momentum
Research model
29
Deteriorating
No prior period to compare
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Elite Investor Activity
Supplemental
—
Insufficient Data
No prior period to compare
No tracked manager filings mapped to this company.
Intelligence history
Not enough stored history to chart ESTC yet. A company needs at least two published research or ownership periods before a trend can be shown.
Share price
ESTC price history
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.
- 6M change
- +61.3%
- 1Y change
- -6.4%
- 3Y change
- +6.1%
- 5Y change
- -49.2%
- Max change
- +26.8%
Last stored close $83.39 · -6.4% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Why IA likes it
- No positive evidence is available under the current coverage.
Risk and uncertainty
What IA doesn’t like
- Ownership evidence is incomplete and should not be read as comprehensive.
What would change our view
- Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
- Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
- A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
- New material public ownership disclosures.
Public filings · descriptive only
Elite Investor Activity
Reporting holders
—
New holders
—
Increasing
—
Reducing
—
Exiting
—
Coverage
Insufficient
Insufficient Coverage · Report period unavailable · Public date unavailable
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
What changed
No qualifying changes are recorded for this company in the stored research and filing history.
Ownership timeline
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.