Risk Intelligence
71 / 100
Fundamentally Qualified
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Above average on this measure.
FAST · NASDAQ
Sector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$49.32
+0.63%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Updated 6/30/2026
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
Sector unavailable · Data confidence good
64 / 100
Rank #152 of 1,152 qualified companies
Top 22% · Watch
71 / 100
Fundamentally Qualified
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Above average on this measure.
62 / 100
Elite Compounder
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
65 / 100
Accelerating
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
64 / 100
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
28 / 100
Expensive
Is today's price reasonable?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
46 / 100
Moderate Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
FASTENAL CO scores 62 on Long-Term Potential (C), described by the research model as elite compounder. This describes business characteristics only — it is not a forecast of future returns.
Disclosed ownership evidence reads 64 (C): Positive disclosed activity. 7 tracked managers disclosed a position in the latest reporting period. Ownership filings are historical disclosures, not signals.
FASTENAL CO reads 28 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Expensive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
FASTENAL CO reads 46 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 12.1% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare FAST with other companiesResearch Collections
This company does not currently satisfy any collection rule. That is a stored research result, not a judgement about the business.
Browse collectionsAbout a minute to read
Written from stored research readings only. No hype. No trading signals. Just better evidence.
FASTENAL CO (FAST) scores 64 out of 100 and ranks #152 of 1,152 qualified companies today. That places it in the top 22% of ranked companies. The stored tier for that score is watch.
Risk Intelligence reads 71 out of 100 (B−), recorded as fundamentally qualified. Above average on this measure.
Long-Term Potential reads 62 out of 100 (C), recorded as elite compounder. Around the middle of the covered universe.
Fundamental Momentum reads 65 out of 100 (C), recorded as accelerating. Around the middle of the covered universe.
Ownership Intelligence reads 64 out of 100 (C), recorded as positive disclosed activity. Around the middle of the covered universe.
Valuation is currently the main point of caution: Valuation Intelligence reads 28 out of 100 (F), recorded as Expensive. FASTENAL CO reads 28 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Expensive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital Returns Intelligence reads 46 out of 100 (D), recorded as Moderate Capital Returns. FASTENAL CO reads 46 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 12.1% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Elevated valuation: the current market price reflects a premium to this company's historical valuation and comparable companies (Valuation Intelligence 28 out of 100, Expensive). Data confidence for this company is good.
No individual layer reaches the strongest band today. Separately from the score, valuation reads expensive at today's price.
Composite discovery model
Pro Investor Score™
64 / 100
A 0–100 composite discovery score combining Risk Intelligence, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, and Ownership Intelligence. It helps rank qualified companies for further research and does not predict future returns.
30% contribution
30% contribution
20% contribution
20% contribution
64 / 100 · Moderately Positive · 20% of the Pro Investor Score
Coverage: Good
50% of Ownership Intelligence · 10% of the total score
Tracked professional-manager activity is moderately positive.
20% of Ownership Intelligence · 4% of the total score
Broad institutional evidence from resolved filings is strong.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No discretionary insider transactions are stored for this company, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No qualifying major-holder filings are stored, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
Ownership Intelligence summarizes publicly disclosed activity among professional investment managers, broader institutions, company insiders, and significant strategic owners. It adds context to investment research but is not a validated predictor of future performance. Ownership information is publicly reported with a delay; the latest applicable reporting period is 2026-06-30, publicly disclosed 9/11/2026. Congressional activity is unavailable pending legal review and contributes nothing to this reading.
Improving fundamentals
Recent reported business trends rank among the strongest in the qualified universe.
Ownership evidence is not uniformly supportive
The combined disclosed ownership evidence ranks below the qualified median.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Data coverage Excellent. Rankings are recalculated daily using the latest available information. Individual components may update at different frequencies based on when new financial and ownership data becomes available.
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 28 · Expensive
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 46 · Moderate Capital Returns
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Score explanation
Four research areas carry fixed weights. Each area is compared against every other eligible company, then weighted. The four contributions below add to 64.0 of the stored score (64.0).
Risk Intelligence
30% of the score · contributes 21.6 points
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Stands at the 72 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 71 · 34% of this company’s total score
How financially sturdy the company has been when conditions turned against it.
Risk Intelligence reads stored balance-sheet strength, historical downside behaviour and the company's price-risk grouping. A stronger reading describes past resilience; it does not protect against future losses.
Full methodologyLong-Term Potential
30% of the score · contributes 21.3 points
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Stands at the 71 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 62 · 33% of this company’s total score
Whether the business has the durable characteristics long-term owners look for.
Long-Term Potential reads durability characteristics such as profitability consistency, cash generation and reinvestment capability over multiple reported periods.
Full methodologyFundamental Momentum
20% of the score · contributes 15.1 points
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Stands at the 76 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 65 · 24% of this company’s total score
Whether the reported business results have been getting stronger or weaker.
Fundamental Momentum compares recent reported fundamentals with the company's own earlier periods, so improvement or deterioration is measured against its history rather than against a forecast.
Full methodologyOwnership Intelligence
20% of the score · contributes 5.9 points
What are important owners actually doing?
Stands at the 30 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 64 · 9% of this company’s total score
What large reporting owners have actually been doing with their positions.
Ownership Intelligence reads public ownership filings: how many tracked reporting owners hold the company, and whether they were adding, holding, reducing or exiting in the latest disclosed period.
Full methodologyAdditional research — not currently included in the primary Suggested Investment Score.
Reported by insiders, large shareholders and professional funds. Shown beside our research, never blended into it.
Loading professional-investor activity…
Stored snapshots only
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Expensive
6
Expensive
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
10
Expensive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
38
Elevated
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
72
Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
FASTENAL CO reads 28 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Expensive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current P/E 41.9x · own median 29.0x · peer median 27.2x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Moderate Capital Returns
63
Favorable Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
30
Limited Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
The company spends on share repurchases, but much of that activity offsets share issuance rather than materially reducing the share count.
43
Moderate Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
48
Moderate Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
50
Moderate Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
FASTENAL CO reads 46 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 12.1% a year.
This company spent cash repurchasing stock, but the share count did not fall meaningfully because it also issued shares. Repurchase spending alone did not increase existing shareholders' ownership.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $1.06B · net repurchases $32.90M · total returned $1.09B · 93% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Pro Investor Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
| Today | #152 | Score 64 |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | September 12, 2026 | |
| Highest rank | #152 | |
In the company’s own words
Note – Information in this section is as of year end unless otherwise noted. The year end is December 31, 2025 unless additional years are included or noted.
Fastenal began as a partnership in 1967, and was incorporated under the laws of Minnesota in 1968. We opened our first branch in 1967 in Winona, Minnesota, a city with a population today of approximately 26,000. We began with a marketing strategy of supplying threaded fasteners to customers through a branch network in small, medium, and, in subsequent years, large cities. Over time, how and where we engage our customers has expanded and evolved. Today we sell a broader range of industrial and construction supplies spanning more than nine major product lines through a global network of locations utilizing diverse technologies such as vending devices, bin stock devices, and eBusiness. The large majority of our transactions are business-to-business. We provide additional descriptions of our product lines and market channels later in this document. At the end of 2025, we had 1,595 branch locations in 25 countries supported by 15 distribution centers in North America, with 12 in the United States (U.S.), two in Canada, and one in Mexico; two in Asia; and two in Europe, and we employed 24,489 people. We believe our success can be attributed to the high quality of our employees and their convenient proximity to our customers, and our ability to offer customers a full range of products and services to reduce their total cost of procurement.
Historically, our growth was primarily measured by our physical locations count. Today, we emphasize optimizing our footprint and tailoring service models to customer sites based on their size and potential for growth. Physical location openings and adjustments reflect local market conditions and strategic priorities rather than a uniform expansion approach.
We engage customers primarily through physical selling locations that deliver Fastenal service and solutions at or near customer operations called sites (Sites). Starting in 2025, we have disclosed Sites information instead of public branches and customer-dedicated Onsites. These Sites are distinct locations of our customers' operations where we maintain inventory tailored to local demand, supported by our regional distribution networks.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 5, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
71
Fundamentally Qualified
+10.3 vs Jun 30, 2026
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
62
Elite Compounder
-8.5 vs Jun 30, 2026
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
65
Accelerating
-11.4 vs Jun 30, 2026
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
57
Mid range
0 vs Jun 30, 2026
Only 7 tracked managers disclosed a position — treat as limited coverage.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Company intelligence
Each area is measured and reported separately. No combined score exists.
FAST intelligence history from 2023-09-30 to 2026-09-11. Risk Intelligence 71.2 on 2026-09-11, up 10.3 from 60.9 on 2026-06-30. Long-Term Potential 61.6 on 2026-09-11, down 8.5 from 70.1 on 2026-06-30. Fundamental Momentum 64.8 on 2026-09-11, down 11.4 from 76.2 on 2026-06-30. Elite Investor Activity 57.1 on 2026-09-11, unchanged 0 from 57.1 on 2026-06-30. Each area is reported separately and is never combined into a single score.
Risk Intelligence 71.2 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+10.3 vs prior period) · Production core
Long-Term Potential 61.6 as of Sep 11, 2026 (-8.5 vs prior period) · Research model
Fundamental Momentum 64.8 as of Sep 11, 2026 (-11.4 vs prior period) · Research model
Elite Investor Activity 57.1 as of Sep 11, 2026 (0 vs prior period) · Supplemental
Share price
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.
Last stored close $49.32 · +6.5% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Risk and uncertainty
Public filings · descriptive only
Reporting holders
1
New holders
1
Increasing
0
Reducing
0
Exiting
0
Coverage
Excellent
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2016-12-31 · Public 12/22/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
Price Risk category changed
Price Risk moved from Not Available to Lower risk.
IA Compounder softened
IA Compounder research score moved from 70.1 to 48.1.
Fundamental Momentum softened
Fundamental Momentum research score moved from 76.2 to 67.7.
IA Defensive improved
Business Quality qualification score moved from 58.9 to 60.9.
IA Compounder strengthened
IA Compounder research score moved from 47.7 to 70.1.
Fundamental Momentum improved
Fundamental Momentum research score moved from 63.0 to 76.2.
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 36 to 57 for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 57 to 29 for the reporting period ending 2025-12-31.
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 100 to 57 for the reporting period ending 2025-09-30.
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 71 to 93 for the reporting period ending 2025-03-31.
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.