Risk Intelligence
52 / 100
Exit Review
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
SBUX · Nasdaq
Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants
$98.74
-0.48%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Updated 6/30/2026
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants · Data confidence good
33 / 100
Rank #571 of 1,152 qualified companies
Top 83% · Not Currently Suggested
52 / 100
Exit Review
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
60 / 100
Not Scored
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
49 / 100
Not Scored
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
50 / 100
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
41 / 100
Elevated
Is today's price reasonable?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
54 / 100
Moderate Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
STARBUCKS CORP scores 60 on Long-Term Potential (C), described by the research model as not scored. This describes business characteristics only — it is not a forecast of future returns.
Disclosed ownership evidence reads 50 (D): Positive disclosed activity. 7 tracked managers disclosed a position in the latest reporting period. Ownership filings are historical disclosures, not signals.
STARBUCKS CORP reads 41 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Elevated. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
STARBUCKS CORP reads 54 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 13.7% a year and a share count falling about 0.7% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare SBUX with other companiesResearch Collections
This company does not currently satisfy any collection rule. That is a stored research result, not a judgement about the business.
Browse collectionsAbout a minute to read
Written from stored research readings only. No hype. No trading signals. Just better evidence.
STARBUCKS CORP (SBUX) scores 33 out of 100 and ranks #571 of 1,152 qualified companies today. That places it in the top 83% of ranked companies. The stored tier for that score is not currently suggested.
Risk Intelligence reads 52 out of 100 (D+), recorded as exit review. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Long-Term Potential reads 60 out of 100 (C), recorded as not scored. Around the middle of the covered universe.
Fundamental Momentum reads 49 out of 100 (D), recorded as not scored. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Ownership Intelligence reads 50 out of 100 (D), recorded as positive disclosed activity. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Valuation is currently the main point of caution: Valuation Intelligence reads 41 out of 100 (D), recorded as Elevated. STARBUCKS CORP reads 41 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Elevated. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital Returns Intelligence reads 54 out of 100 (D+), recorded as Moderate Capital Returns. STARBUCKS CORP reads 54 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 13.7% a year and a share count falling about 0.7% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
This company is in Exit Review under the existing quality rules, which is the most serious caution the research records can carry.
No individual layer reaches the strongest band today. Risk Intelligence and Fundamental Momentum and Ownership Intelligence remain the main area to watch. Separately from the score, valuation reads elevated at today's price.
Composite discovery model
Pro Investor Score™
33 / 100
A 0–100 composite discovery score combining Risk Intelligence, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, and Ownership Intelligence. It helps rank qualified companies for further research and does not predict future returns.
30% contribution
30% contribution
20% contribution
20% contribution
50 / 100 · Mixed · 20% of the Pro Investor Score
Coverage: Good
50% of Ownership Intelligence · 10% of the total score
Tracked professional-manager activity is mixed.
20% of Ownership Intelligence · 4% of the total score
Broad institutional evidence from resolved filings is strong.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No discretionary insider transactions are stored for this company, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No qualifying major-holder filings are stored, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
Ownership Intelligence summarizes publicly disclosed activity among professional investment managers, broader institutions, company insiders, and significant strategic owners. It adds context to investment research but is not a validated predictor of future performance. Ownership information is publicly reported with a delay; the latest applicable reporting period is 2026-06-30, publicly disclosed 9/11/2026. Congressional activity is unavailable pending legal review and contributes nothing to this reading.
No component ranks in the top quartile of the qualified universe.
Risk Intelligence is less favourable
Defensive characteristics rank below the middle of the qualified universe.
Fundamental Momentum is softer
Reported business trends rank below the qualified median.
Ownership evidence is not uniformly supportive
Disclosed elite investor activity evidence is weak or neutral. Ownership evidence is supplemental and never automatically positive.
Ownership evidence disagrees
Different owner groups point in different directions, so the combined reading is best read as mixed rather than uniformly favourable.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Data coverage Excellent. Rankings are recalculated daily using the latest available information. Individual components may update at different frequencies based on when new financial and ownership data becomes available.
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 41 · Elevated
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 54 · Moderate Capital Returns
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Score explanation
Four research areas carry fixed weights. Each area is compared against every other eligible company, then weighted. The four contributions below add to 33.1 of the stored score (33.1).
Risk Intelligence
30% of the score · contributes 1.4 points
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Stands at the 5 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 52 · 4% of this company’s total score
How financially sturdy the company has been when conditions turned against it.
Risk Intelligence reads stored balance-sheet strength, historical downside behaviour and the company's price-risk grouping. A stronger reading describes past resilience; it does not protect against future losses.
Full methodologyLong-Term Potential
30% of the score · contributes 19.9 points
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Stands at the 66 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 60 · 60% of this company’s total score
Whether the business has the durable characteristics long-term owners look for.
Long-Term Potential reads durability characteristics such as profitability consistency, cash generation and reinvestment capability over multiple reported periods.
Full methodologyFundamental Momentum
20% of the score · contributes 9.2 points
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Stands at the 46 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 49 · 28% of this company’s total score
Whether the reported business results have been getting stronger or weaker.
Fundamental Momentum compares recent reported fundamentals with the company's own earlier periods, so improvement or deterioration is measured against its history rather than against a forecast.
Full methodologyOwnership Intelligence
20% of the score · contributes 2.6 points
What are important owners actually doing?
Stands at the 13 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 50 · 8% of this company’s total score
What large reporting owners have actually been doing with their positions.
Ownership Intelligence reads public ownership filings: how many tracked reporting owners hold the company, and whether they were adding, holding, reducing or exiting in the latest disclosed period.
Full methodologyAdditional research — not currently included in the primary Suggested Investment Score.
Reported by insiders, large shareholders and professional funds. Shown beside our research, never blended into it.
Loading professional-investor activity…
Stored snapshots only
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Elevated
42
Elevated
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
18
Expensive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
42
Elevated
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
68
Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
STARBUCKS CORP reads 41 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Elevated. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 28, 2026
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current P/E 56.8x · own median 29.6x · peer median 24.0x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Moderate Capital Returns
82
Exceptional Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
30
Limited Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
51
Moderate Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
48
Moderate Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
62
Favorable Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
STARBUCKS CORP reads 54 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Moderate Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 13.7% a year and a share count falling about 0.7% a year.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $2.81B · net repurchases $535.97M · total returned $3.35B · 92% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 28, 2026
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Pro Investor Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
| Today | #571 | Score 33 |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | Not yet suggested | |
| Highest rank | #571 | |
In the company’s own words
In this Annual Report on Form 10-K ("10-K" or "Report") for the fiscal year ended September 28, 2025 ("fiscal 2025"), Starbucks Corporation (together with its subsidiaries) is referred to as "Starbucks," the "Company," "we," "us," or "our."
Starbucks is the premier roaster, marketer, and retailer of specialty coffee in the world, operating in 89 markets. Formed in 1985, Starbucks Corporation’s common stock trades on the Nasdaq Global Select Market ("Nasdaq") under the symbol "SBUX." We purchase and roast high-quality coffees that we sell, along with handcrafted coffee, tea, and other beverages and a variety of high-quality food items through company-operated stores ("stores" or "coffeehouses"). We also sell a variety of coffee and tea products and license our trademarks through other channels, such as licensed stores as well as grocery and foodservice through our Global Coffee Alliance with Nestl S.A. ("Nestl "). In addition to our flagship Starbucks Coffee brand, we sell goods and services under the following brands: Teavana , Ethos , and Starbucks Reserve .
Our primary objective is to maintain Starbucks standing as one of the most recognized and respected brands in the world. We believe the continuous investments in our brand and operations will deliver long-term targeted revenue and income growth. This includes expansion of our global store base, adding stores in both existing, developed markets such as the U.S. and in higher growth markets, as well as optimizing the mix of company-operated and licensed stores around the world. In addition, by leveraging experiences gained through our stores and elsewhere, we continue to drive beverage, equipment, process, and technology innovation, including in our industry-leading digital platform. We strive to regularly offer consumers new, innovative coffee and other products in a variety of forms, across new categories and diverse channels.
In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, we announced our " Back to Starbucks " strategy, which was implemented with the goal to bring new and existing customers to our stores and business, and return to growth. The strategy includes supporting our green apron partners, enhancing the customer experience, reestablishing ourselves as the community coffeehouse, and strengthening the brand through product development, marketing, in-store and digital experience. This strategic reset provides us with the opportunity to assess the business and refocus our efforts, including capital allocation priorities, efficiency efforts, and store growth initiatives.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed November 14, 2025. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
52
Fundamentally Qualified
+20.8 vs Jun 30, 2026
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
60
Elite Compounder
No prior period to compare
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
49
Middle
No prior period to compare
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
36
Lower range
0 vs Jun 30, 2026
Only 7 tracked managers disclosed a position — treat as limited coverage.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Company intelligence
Each area is measured and reported separately. No combined score exists.
SBUX intelligence history from 2023-09-30 to 2026-09-11. Risk Intelligence 52 on 2026-09-11, up 20.8 from 31.2 on 2026-06-30. Long-Term Potential 60.2 on 2026-09-11. Fundamental Momentum 49.1 on 2026-09-11. Elite Investor Activity 35.7 on 2026-09-11, unchanged 0 from 35.7 on 2026-06-30. Each area is reported separately and is never combined into a single score.
Risk Intelligence 52 as of Sep 11, 2026 (+20.8 vs prior period) · Production core
Long-Term Potential 60.2 as of Sep 11, 2026 · Research model
Fundamental Momentum 49.1 as of Sep 11, 2026 · Research model
Elite Investor Activity 35.7 as of Sep 11, 2026 (0 vs prior period) · Supplemental
Share price
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Past prices do not indicate future results.
Last stored close $98.74 · +23.0% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Risk and uncertainty
Public filings · descriptive only
Reporting holders
55
New holders
39
Increasing
6
Reducing
6
Exiting
1
Coverage
Excellent
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2023-09-30 · Public 12/27/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
IA Defensive improved
Business Quality qualification score moved from 31.2 to 33.2.
IA Defensive improved
Business Quality qualification score moved from 28.9 to 31.2.
Elite Investor Consensus strengthened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 21 to 36 for the reporting period ending 2026-06-30.
Exit Review triggered
Business Quality fell below the Exit Review threshold. Exit Review is a prompt for review, never an automatic sell.
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 38 to 25 for the reporting period ending 2025-12-31.
Tracked managers exited positions
2 tracked managers no longer disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2025-06-30.
Tracked managers initiated positions
2 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2025-03-31.
Elite Investor Consensus weakened
Disclosed agreement among tracked managers moved from 100 to 33 for the reporting period ending 2024-12-31.
Tracked managers initiated positions
8 tracked managers first disclosed a position for the reporting period ending 2024-09-30.
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.