Risk Intelligence
Core Model
—
Not Available
Insufficient Data
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Suggestions
NSSC · NASDAQ
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INC
Private betaSector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$36.26
+2.11%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Insufficient Data
Updated date unavailable
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INC
Sector unavailable · Data confidence partial
No Suggested Investment Score today
SCORE_PENDING_OWNERSHIP
Long-Term Potential
Research Model
—
Not Available
Insufficient Data
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Fundamental Momentum
Research Model
—
Not Available
Insufficient Data
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Ownership Intelligence
Supplemental Intelligence
—
Not Available
Insufficient Coverage
What are important owners actually doing?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Valuation Intelligence
Research Model
D
49 / 100
Reasonable
Is today's price reasonable?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Capital Returns Intelligence
Research Model
C+
65 / 100
Favorable Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
Why it stands out
No strengthening evidence is recorded in today's readings.
What holds it back
- Ownership evidence is incomplete and should not be read as comprehensive.
Long-term view
Long-Term Potential is not available for this company, so no long-term reading is shown.
Ownership view
No disclosed ownership reading is available at the required confidence, so ownership is left blank rather than estimated.
Valuation view
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INC reads 49 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital returns view
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INC reads 65 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 56.5% a year and a share count falling about 0.5% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
What changed
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare NSSC with other companiesAppears in
Rule-based membership
Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.
60-Second Brief
Too few stored readings exist for this company to summarise honestly.
Composite discovery model
Suggested Investment Score
Suggested Investment Score
Score Pending — Insufficient Ownership Coverage
A composite score is only published when every required input is available for this company. Nothing is estimated to fill a gap, and exclusion from the ranking is not a sell instruction.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Ranking updated September 12, 2026
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 49 · Reasonable
RESEARCH MODEL
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 65 · Favorable Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Why this company scores the way it does
This company does not currently hold a stored Suggested Investment Score, so no contribution breakdown can be shown.
Stored snapshots only
What changed
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Learn the metrics on this page
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence
Is today's price reasonable?
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
49/ 100
Reasonable
RESEARCH MODEL
Good coverage
Compared with its history
68
Attractive
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
Compared with peers
11
Expensive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
Earnings & cash flow
53
Reasonable
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
Growth-adjusted
62
Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INC reads 49 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Reasonable. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and above comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Valuation history
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current P/E 30.1x · own median 36.2x · peer median 19.9x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
65/ 100
Favorable Capital Returns
RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage
Dividend Quality
76
Strong Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
Buyback Effectiveness
65
Favorable Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
Dilution Control
49
Moderate Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
Capital Return Sustainability
76
Strong Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
Shareholder Yield
51
Moderate Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INC reads 65 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Favorable Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 56.5% a year and a share count falling about 0.5% a year.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $20.33M · net repurchases $12.05M · total returned $32.38M · 55% of free cash flow
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Capital returns history
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
Why higher yield isn't always better
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Why buybacks can be misleading
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
What these terms mean
- Dividend Yield
- The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
- Payout Ratio
- The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
- Free Cash Flow Payout
- How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
- Share Repurchases
- When a company buys back its own stock.
- Dilution
- When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
- Shareholder Yield
- A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
Ranking history
| Today | Not ranked | No stored score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | Not yet suggested | |
| Highest rank | Not ranked | |
In the company’s own words
What this company does
NAPCO is one of the leading manufacturers and designers of high-tech electronic security devices, cellular communication services for intrusion and fire alarm systems as well as a leading provider of school safety solutions. We offer a diversified array of security products, encompassing access control systems, door-locking products, intrusion and fire alarm systems and video surveillance products. These products are used for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial and governmental applications, and are sold principally to independent distributors, dealers and installers of security equipment. We have established a national network of trusted independent security dealers and integrators that are experts at selling, installing and supporting our various technologies. These dealers are dependent on our platform for communication services to our radio communicators and smart security devices, and they pay us a monthly fee for these services to operate and manage their businesses efficiently.
Our net revenues were $202.3 million, $181.6 million and $188.8 million for the fiscal years ended June 30, 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively. The increase in our net revenues from fiscal 2025 to 2026 was driven by the increase in revenues of equipment products ($9.5 million or 10.0%) as well as the continued growth of our recurring communication services ($11.2 million or 13.0%). The increase in net equipment revenues was due primarily to increased revenues of door-locking products ($6.9 million or 11.1%) and increased revenues of intrusion and access products ($2.6 million or 7.8%). The increase in net service revenues was due to net new activations of our fire and burglar cellular (radio) communication devices put into service and activated.
Our net income was $43.0 million, $43.4 million and $49.8 million for the fiscal years ended June 30, 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively. Net income for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026 is inclusive of a one-time litigation settlement charge of ($16 million).
Since 1969, NAPCO has established a heritage and proven record in the professional security community for reliably delivering both advanced technology and high-quality security solutions, building many of the industry’s widely recognized brands, such as NAPCO Security Technologies, Alarm Lock, NAPCO Access Pro, Marks USA, and other popular product lines. The Company’s products and services are comprised primarily of the following:
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed August 24, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
The IA view
Risk Intelligence
Production core
82
Fundamentally Qualified
No prior period to compare
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Long-Term Potential
Research model
80
Elite Compounder
No prior period to compare
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Momentum
Research model
60
Accelerating
No prior period to compare
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Elite Investor Activity
Supplemental
—
Insufficient Data
No prior period to compare
No tracked manager filings mapped to this company.
Intelligence history
Not enough stored history to chart NSSC yet. A company needs at least two published research or ownership periods before a trend can be shown.
Share price
NSSC price history
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Past prices do not indicate future results.
- 6M change
- -13.2%
- 1Y change
- -10.9%
- 3Y change
- +57.8%
- 5Y change
- +81.9%
- Max change
- +148.7%
Last stored close $36.26 · -10.9% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Why IA likes it
- No positive evidence is available under the current coverage.
Risk and uncertainty
What IA doesn’t like
- Ownership evidence is incomplete and should not be read as comprehensive.
What would change our view
- Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
- Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
- A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
- New material public ownership disclosures.
Public filings · descriptive only
Elite Investor Activity
Reporting holders
—
New holders
—
Increasing
—
Reducing
—
Exiting
—
Coverage
Insufficient
Insufficient Coverage · Report period unavailable · Public date unavailable
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
What changed
No qualifying changes are recorded for this company in the stored research and filing history.
Ownership timeline
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.