Risk Intelligence
Not Available
Insufficient Data
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
AAL · NASDAQ
Sector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$13.01
+1.25%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Updated 12/22/2023
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
Sector unavailable · Data confidence insufficient
No Suggested Investment Score today
Risk Intelligence is unavailable
Not Available
Insufficient Data
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Not Available
Insufficient Data
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Not Available
Insufficient Data
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
Not Available
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
This reading is not available for this company yet.
63 / 100
Attractive
Is today's price reasonable?
Around the middle of the covered universe — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
26 / 100
Limited Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
No weakening evidence is recorded in today's readings.
Long-Term Potential is not available for this company, so no long-term reading is shown.
No disclosed ownership reading is available at the required confidence, so ownership is left blank rather than estimated.
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC reads 63 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC reads 26 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare AAL with other companiesAppears in
Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.
60-Second Brief
Too few stored readings exist for this company to summarise honestly.
Composite discovery model
Suggested Investment Score
Risk Intelligence is unavailable. A composite score is only published when every required input is available for this company. Nothing is estimated to fill a gap, and exclusion from the ranking is not a sell instruction.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Ranking updated September 12, 2026
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 63 · Attractive
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 26 · Limited Capital Returns
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
This company does not currently hold a stored Suggested Investment Score, so no contribution breakdown can be shown.
Stored snapshots only
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Attractive
55
Reasonable
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
70
Attractive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
73
Very Attractive
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
55
Reasonable
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC reads 63 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current EV/EBITDA 12.1x · own median 8.8x · peer median 14.2x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Limited Capital Returns
21
Limited Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
30
Limited Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
No net share repurchases are recorded in the stored cash-flow statements.
30
Limited Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
—
Not Available
Can the cash flow support it?
The company returned no measurable capital in the latest period, so there is nothing to sustain.
25
Limited Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC reads 26 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend.
No measurable cash was returned to shareholders through dividends or net repurchases in the latest stored statements.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
| Today | Not ranked | No stored score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | Not yet suggested | |
| Highest rank | Not ranked | |
In the company’s own words
In the case of a CBA that is amendable under the RLA, if no agreement is reached during direct negotiations between the parties, either party may request that the NMB appoint a federal mediator. The RLA prescribes no timetable for the direct negotiation and mediation processes, and it is not unusual for those processes to last for many months or even several years. If no agreement is reached in mediation, the NMB in its discretion may declare that an impasse exists and proffer binding arbitration to the parties. Either party may decline to submit to arbitration, and if arbitration is rejected by either party, a 30-day "cooling off" period commences. During or after that period, a Presidential Emergency Board (PEB) may be established, which examines the parties’ positions and recommends a solution. The PEB process lasts for 30 days and is followed by another 30-day "cooling off" period. At the end of this "cooling off" period, unless an agreement is reached or action is taken by Congress, the labor organization may exercise "self-help," such as a strike, which could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.
None of the unions representing our employees presently may lawfully engage in concerted slowdowns or refusals to work, such as strikes, sick-outs or other similar activity, against us. Nonetheless, there is a risk that employees, either with or without union involvement, could engage in one or more concerted refusals to work that could individually or collectively harm the operation of our airline and impair our financial performance. Additionally, some of our unions have brought and may continue to bring grievances to binding arbitration, including those related to wages. If successful, there is a risk these arbitral avenues could result in material additional costs that we did not anticipate.
Personnel shortages, and general wage inflation have impacted and are expected to continue to impact our labor costs. We have agreements with the unions representing mainline pilots, flight attendants, passenger service team members, and mechanic and fleet service workgroups. These agreements include significant increases in pay and benefits compared to the prior agreements, in many cases in line with agreements concluded by our large network competitors with their unions. We remain in negotiations for other new labor agreements and anticipate that any new contracts we agree to with our labor groups will include increases in salaries and other benefits, which will increase our labor expense.
If we encounter problems with any of our third-party regional operators or third-party service providers, our operations could be adversely affected by a resulting decline in revenue or negative public perception about our services.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 18, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
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Insufficient Data
No prior period to compare
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
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Insufficient Data
No prior period to compare
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
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Insufficient Data
No prior period to compare
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
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Insufficient Data
No prior period to compare
Too few tracked managers disclosed a position to describe consensus.
Not enough stored history to chart AAL yet. A company needs at least two published research or ownership periods before a trend can be shown.
Share price
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.
Last stored close $13.01 · +0.5% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Risk and uncertainty
Public filings · descriptive only
Reporting holders
1
New holders
1
Increasing
0
Reducing
0
Exiting
0
Coverage
Excellent
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2016-12-31 · Public 12/22/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
No qualifying changes are recorded for this company in the stored research and filing history.
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.