Suggestions

AAL · NASDAQ

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

Private beta

Sector unavailable · Industry unavailable

$13.01

+1.25%

Close on Sep 11, 2026

Insufficient Data

Updated 12/22/2023

Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.

Investment Report Card

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

Sector unavailable · Data confidence insufficient

No Suggested Investment Score today

Risk Intelligence is unavailable

Risk Intelligence

Core Model

Not Available

Insufficient Data

How strong and defensively sound is the company?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Long-Term Potential

Research Model

Not Available

Insufficient Data

Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Fundamental Momentum

Research Model

Not Available

Insufficient Data

Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Ownership Intelligence

Supplemental Intelligence

Not Available

Positive disclosed activity

What are important owners actually doing?

This reading is not available for this company yet.

Valuation Intelligence

Research Model
C

63 / 100

Attractive

Is today's price reasonable?

Around the middle of the covered universe — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.

Capital Returns Intelligence

Research Model
F

26 / 100

Limited Capital Returns

How effectively does the company reward shareholders?

Weaker than most covered companies on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.

Why it stands out

  • More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.
  • Attractive valuation: the stock reads 63 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence (Attractive) relative to its own history and comparable companies.

What holds it back

No weakening evidence is recorded in today's readings.

Long-term view

Long-Term Potential is not available for this company, so no long-term reading is shown.

Ownership view

No disclosed ownership reading is available at the required confidence, so ownership is left blank rather than estimated.

Valuation view

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC reads 63 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.

Capital returns view

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC reads 26 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.

What changed

No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.

Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.

Compare AAL with other companies

Appears in

Rule-based membership

Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.

60-Second Brief

Too few stored readings exist for this company to summarise honestly.

Composite discovery model

Suggested Investment Score

Suggested Investment Score

Not currently in the Suggested Investment ranking

Risk Intelligence is unavailable. A composite score is only published when every required input is available for this company. Nothing is estimated to fill a gap, and exclusion from the ranking is not a sell instruction.

COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Ranking updated September 12, 2026

Researched separately

Valuation Intelligence 63 · Attractive

RESEARCH MODEL

Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.

Researched separately

Capital Returns Intelligence 26 · Limited Capital Returns

RESEARCH MODEL

Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.

Why this company scores the way it does

This company does not currently hold a stored Suggested Investment Score, so no contribution breakdown can be shown.

Stored snapshots only

What changed

Research-score history available since September 2026.

Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.

A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.

Learn the metrics on this page

Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.

Fifth research lens · outside the score

Valuation Intelligence

Valuation Intelligence

Is today's price reasonable?

Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.

63/ 100

Attractive

RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage

Compared with its history

55

Reasonable

Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?

Compared with peers

70

Attractive

How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?

Earnings & cash flow

73

Very Attractive

How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?

Growth-adjusted

55

Reasonable

Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC reads 63 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Attractive. The stock currently trades above most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.

Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026

Valuation history

Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.

Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.

Current EV/EBITDA 12.1x · own median 8.8x · peer median 14.2x

Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.

Sixth research lens · outside the score

Capital Returns Intelligence

Capital Returns Intelligence

How effectively does the company reward shareholders?

Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.

26/ 100

Limited Capital Returns

RESEARCH MODEL
Excellent coverage

Dividend Quality

21

Limited Capital Returns

Dividend reliability

Buyback Effectiveness

30

Limited Capital Returns

Do buybacks actually reduce shares?

No net share repurchases are recorded in the stored cash-flow statements.

Dilution Control

30

Limited Capital Returns

Is your ownership share protected?

Capital Return Sustainability

Not Available

Can the cash flow support it?

The company returned no measurable capital in the latest period, so there is nothing to sustain.

Shareholder Yield

25

Limited Capital Returns

Cash returned versus company value

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC reads 26 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Limited Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend.

No measurable cash was returned to shareholders through dividends or net repurchases in the latest stored statements.

Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026

Capital returns history

Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.

Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.

Why higher yield isn't always better

A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.

Why buybacks can be misleading

Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.

What these terms mean
Dividend Yield
The annual dividend relative to the current share price.
Payout Ratio
The share of company earnings used to pay dividends.
Free Cash Flow Payout
How much of the company's available cash is being used for dividends.
Share Repurchases
When a company buys back its own stock.
Dilution
When the number of shares increases, reducing each existing share's percentage ownership of the company.
Shareholder Yield
A combined view of dividends and net share repurchases relative to the company's market value.

Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.

Stored daily snapshots only

Ranking history

Stored Suggested Investment ranking history
TodayNot rankedNo stored score
30 days agoNot rankedNo stored score
90 days agoNot rankedNo stored score
First suggestedNot yet suggested
Highest rankNot ranked

In the company’s own words

What this company does

In the case of a CBA that is amendable under the RLA, if no agreement is reached during direct negotiations between the parties, either party may request that the NMB appoint a federal mediator. The RLA prescribes no timetable for the direct negotiation and mediation processes, and it is not unusual for those processes to last for many months or even several years. If no agreement is reached in mediation, the NMB in its discretion may declare that an impasse exists and proffer binding arbitration to the parties. Either party may decline to submit to arbitration, and if arbitration is rejected by either party, a 30-day "cooling off" period commences. During or after that period, a Presidential Emergency Board (PEB) may be established, which examines the parties’ positions and recommends a solution. The PEB process lasts for 30 days and is followed by another 30-day "cooling off" period. At the end of this "cooling off" period, unless an agreement is reached or action is taken by Congress, the labor organization may exercise "self-help," such as a strike, which could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.

None of the unions representing our employees presently may lawfully engage in concerted slowdowns or refusals to work, such as strikes, sick-outs or other similar activity, against us. Nonetheless, there is a risk that employees, either with or without union involvement, could engage in one or more concerted refusals to work that could individually or collectively harm the operation of our airline and impair our financial performance. Additionally, some of our unions have brought and may continue to bring grievances to binding arbitration, including those related to wages. If successful, there is a risk these arbitral avenues could result in material additional costs that we did not anticipate.

Personnel shortages, and general wage inflation have impacted and are expected to continue to impact our labor costs. We have agreements with the unions representing mainline pilots, flight attendants, passenger service team members, and mechanic and fleet service workgroups. These agreements include significant increases in pay and benefits compared to the prior agreements, in many cases in line with agreements concluded by our large network competitors with their unions. We remain in negotiations for other new labor agreements and anticipate that any new contracts we agree to with our labor groups will include increases in salaries and other benefits, which will increase our labor expense.

If we encounter problems with any of our third-party regional operators or third-party service providers, our operations could be adversely affected by a resulting decline in revenue or negative public perception about our services.

Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 18, 2026. Read the filing

Four distinct intelligence areas

The IA view

Risk Intelligence

Production core

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.

Long-Term Potential

Research model

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.

Fundamental Momentum

Research model

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.

Elite Investor Activity

Supplemental

Insufficient Data

No prior period to compare

Too few tracked managers disclosed a position to describe consensus.

Intelligence history

Not enough stored history to chart AAL yet. A company needs at least two published research or ownership periods before a trend can be shown.

Share price

AAL price history

Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.

6M change
+23.3%
1Y change
+0.5%
3Y change
-2.3%
5Y change
-34.6%
Max change
-55.1%

Last stored close $13.01 · +0.5% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown

Balanced evidence

Why IA likes it

  • More disclosed holders are new or increasing than reducing or exiting.

Risk and uncertainty

What IA doesn’t like

  • No specific negative evidence is available. This is not evidence of low risk.

What would change our view

  • Business Quality falling below the frozen qualification threshold.
  • Price Risk moving to a less favorable category.
  • A sustained reversal in the Fundamental Momentum research evidence.
  • New material public ownership disclosures.

Public filings · descriptive only

Elite Investor Activity

Reporting holders

1

New holders

1

Increasing

0

Reducing

0

Exiting

0

Coverage

Excellent

Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2016-12-31 · Public 12/22/2023

ManagerChangePortfolio weightRankDisclosed

Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.

Objective stored changes

What changed

No qualifying changes are recorded for this company in the stored research and filing history.

Ownership timeline

No high-confidence public ownership events are available.

General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.