Risk Intelligence
54 / 100
Insufficient Data
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
ALK · NYSE
Sector unavailable · Industry unavailable
$41.16
+2.62%
Close on Sep 11, 2026
Updated 12/22/2023
Long-term research evidence only. No price targets, no trading signals, no recommendations.
Investment Report Card
Sector unavailable · Data confidence partial
27 / 100
Rank #626 of 1,152 qualified companies
Top 91% · Not Currently Suggested
54 / 100
Insufficient Data
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
55 / 100
Insufficient Data
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Around the middle of the covered universe.
11 / 100
Insufficient Data
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
71 / 100
Positive disclosed activity
What are important owners actually doing?
Above average on this measure.
92 / 100
Very Attractive
Is today's price reasonable?
Among the strongest readings on this measure — and valuation is researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
76 / 100
Strong Capital Returns
How effectively does the company reward shareholders?
Above average on this measure — and capital returns are researched separately from the Suggested Investment Score.
No weakening evidence is recorded in today's readings.
ALASKA AIR GROUP INC scores 55 on Long-Term Potential (C−), described by the research model as insufficient data. This describes business characteristics only — it is not a forecast of future returns.
Disclosed ownership evidence reads 71 (B−): Positive disclosed activity. 3 tracked managers disclosed a position in the latest reporting period. Ownership filings are historical disclosures, not signals.
ALASKA AIR GROUP INC reads 92 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Very Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
ALASKA AIR GROUP INC reads 76 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Strong Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 20.1% a year and a share count falling about 2.6% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
No meaningful recorded changes in the stored history.
Risk Intelligence is a core model, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence are research models, and Ownership Intelligence is supplemental descriptive evidence. Valuation Intelligence and Capital Returns Intelligence each contribute 0% to the Suggested Investment Score. Nothing here is a recommendation.
Compare ALK with other companiesAppears in
Membership means the company satisfied a published rule on the latest research build. It is not a recommendation.
About a minute to read
Written from stored research readings only. No hype. No trading signals. Just better evidence.
ALASKA AIR GROUP INC (ALK) scores 27 out of 100 and ranks #626 of 1,152 qualified companies today. That places it in the top 91% of ranked companies. The stored tier for that score is not currently suggested.
Risk Intelligence reads 54 out of 100 (D+), recorded as insufficient data. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Long-Term Potential reads 55 out of 100 (C−), recorded as insufficient data. Around the middle of the covered universe.
Fundamental Momentum reads 11 out of 100 (F), recorded as insufficient data. Weaker than most covered companies on this measure.
Ownership Intelligence reads 71 out of 100 (B−), recorded as positive disclosed activity. Above average on this measure.
Valuation currently appears favourable: Valuation Intelligence reads 92 out of 100 (A), recorded as Very Attractive. ALASKA AIR GROUP INC reads 92 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Very Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value. Valuation Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
Capital Returns Intelligence reads 76 out of 100 (B), recorded as Strong Capital Returns. ALASKA AIR GROUP INC reads 76 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Strong Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 20.1% a year and a share count falling about 2.6% a year. Capital Returns Intelligence is a research model and contributes nothing to the Suggested Investment Score or the daily ranking.
No weakening factors are recorded in today's stored readings, and data confidence is partial. Absence of a recorded weakness is not evidence of safety.
No individual layer reaches the strongest band today. Risk Intelligence and Long-Term Potential and Fundamental Momentum remain the main area to watch. Separately from the score, valuation reads very attractive at today's price.
Composite discovery model
Suggested Investment Score
27 / 100
A 0–100 composite discovery score combining Risk Intelligence, Long-Term Potential, Fundamental Momentum, and Ownership Intelligence. It helps rank qualified companies for further research and does not predict future returns.
30% contribution
30% contribution
20% contribution
20% contribution
71 / 100 · Positive · 20% of the Suggested Investment Score
Coverage: Good
50% of Ownership Intelligence · 10% of the total score
Tracked professional-manager activity is positive.
20% of Ownership Intelligence · 4% of the total score
Broad institutional evidence from resolved filings is strong.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No discretionary insider transactions are stored for this company, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
15% of Ownership Intelligence · 3% of the total score
No qualifying major-holder filings are stored, so this evidence is unavailable rather than neutral.
Ownership Intelligence summarizes publicly disclosed activity among professional investment managers, broader institutions, company insiders, and significant strategic owners. It adds context to investment research but is not a validated predictor of future performance. Ownership information is publicly reported with a delay; the latest applicable reporting period is 2026-06-30, publicly disclosed 9/11/2026. Congressional activity is unavailable pending legal review and contributes nothing to this reading.
No component ranks in the top quartile of the qualified universe.
Risk Intelligence is less favourable
Defensive characteristics rank below the middle of the qualified universe.
Fundamental Momentum is softer
Reported business trends rank below the qualified median.
Ownership evidence is not uniformly supportive
The combined disclosed ownership evidence ranks below the qualified median.
Price Risk is less favourable
Price Risk sits in the higher category relative to other qualified companies.
COMPOSITE DISCOVERY MODEL — RESEARCH STAGE · Data coverage Excellent. Rankings are recalculated daily using the latest available information. Individual components may update at different frequencies based on when new financial and ownership data becomes available.
Researched separately
Valuation Intelligence 92 · Very Attractive
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Researched separately
Capital Returns Intelligence 76 · Strong Capital Returns
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Score explanation
Four research areas carry fixed weights. Each area is compared against every other eligible company, then weighted. The four contributions below add to 26.9 of the stored score (26.9).
Risk Intelligence
30% of the score · contributes 3.4 points
How strong and defensively sound is the company?
Stands at the 11 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 54 · 12% of this company’s total score
How financially sturdy the company has been when conditions turned against it.
Risk Intelligence reads stored balance-sheet strength, historical downside behaviour and the company's price-risk grouping. A stronger reading describes past resilience; it does not protect against future losses.
Full methodologyLong-Term Potential
30% of the score · contributes 15.8 points
Does the business have the characteristics needed to create value over many years?
Stands at the 53 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 55 · 59% of this company’s total score
Whether the business has the durable characteristics long-term owners look for.
Long-Term Potential reads durability characteristics such as profitability consistency, cash generation and reinvestment capability over multiple reported periods.
Full methodologyFundamental Momentum
20% of the score · contributes 0.3 points
Is the underlying business getting stronger or weaker?
Stands at the 2 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 11 · 1% of this company’s total score
Whether the reported business results have been getting stronger or weaker.
Fundamental Momentum compares recent reported fundamentals with the company's own earlier periods, so improvement or deterioration is measured against its history rather than against a forecast.
Full methodologyOwnership Intelligence
20% of the score · contributes 7.5 points
What are important owners actually doing?
Stands at the 38 percentile of eligible companies · stored reading 71 · 28% of this company’s total score
What large reporting owners have actually been doing with their positions.
Ownership Intelligence reads public ownership filings: how many tracked reporting owners hold the company, and whether they were adding, holding, reducing or exiting in the latest disclosed period.
Full methodologyNo research area currently stands in the stronger half of eligible companies.
Additional research — not currently included in the primary Suggested Investment Score.
Stored snapshots only
Research-score history available since September 2026.
Stored research history does not yet cover a full 30 days comparison for this company.
A change is reported as meaningful at 8 score points, 5 rank places, or any change of research classification. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.
Plain-English definitions, with the formula and the limitations of each measure.
Fifth research lens · outside the score
Valuation Intelligence
Valuation Intelligence is currently researched separately and does not affect the Suggested Investment Score or daily ranking.
Very Attractive
87
Very Attractive
Is this company expensive or inexpensive compared with its own history?
84
Very Attractive
How expensive is this stock compared with similar companies?
100
Very Attractive
How much financial output does an investor receive relative to the price paid?
100
Very Attractive
Does the company's growth help justify the valuation investors are paying?
ALASKA AIR GROUP INC reads 92 out of 100 on Valuation Intelligence, recorded as Very Attractive. The stock currently trades below most of its own recent valuation history and below comparable companies. This describes the price being paid relative to the company's financials — it is not a forecast and not a fair value.
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Stored readings only. The dashed line is this company's own median for the selected measure.
Only one stored valuation reading exists so far, so there is nothing to chart yet. Valuation history builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Current EV/Sales 0.8x · own median 1.2x · peer median 1.5x
Valuation is inherently uncertain. A stock that appears inexpensive can continue falling, and a stock that appears expensive can continue rising. Valuation Intelligence provides context about the price investors are paying — it does not predict short-term market movements, and it never produces a fair value, a price target or a buy or sell range. Model VALUATION_INTELLIGENCE_V1.
Sixth research lens · outside the score
Capital Returns Intelligence
Capital Returns Intelligence is researched separately and contributes 0% to the Suggested Investment Score, the daily rank or any ranking event.
Strong Capital Returns
51
Moderate Capital Returns
Dividend reliability
97
Exceptional Capital Returns
Do buybacks actually reduce shares?
75
Strong Capital Returns
Is your ownership share protected?
93
Exceptional Capital Returns
Can the cash flow support it?
56
Moderate Capital Returns
Cash returned versus company value
ALASKA AIR GROUP INC reads 76 out of 100 on Capital Returns Intelligence (Strong Capital Returns), reflecting a dividend that has grown about 20.1% a year and a share count falling about 2.6% a year.
How returned cash was used
Dividends $0.00 · net repurchases $285.00M · total returned $285.00M
Price data through September 11, 2026 · Financial data through the quarter ended June 30, 2026
Stored readings only. History builds forward from activation rather than being reconstructed.
Only one stored reading exists for this measure so far, so there is nothing to chart yet.
A very high dividend yield may reflect a falling share price or an unsustainable payout. Capital Returns Intelligence emphasizes consistency and sustainability rather than simply rewarding the highest yield.
Announced or gross buyback spending does not always mean shareholders are gaining ownership. Companies can simultaneously issue shares through employee compensation or acquisitions. Suggested Investments therefore considers actual share-count changes alongside repurchase spending.
Capital Returns Intelligence describes how a company returns capital to shareholders. It is not a measure of stock-price performance, it does not predict future returns, and a strong reading is never a recommendation to buy. Dividends and repurchases can be reduced or stopped at any time. Model CAPITAL_RETURNS_INTELLIGENCE_V1, contributing 0% to the Suggested Investment Score.
Stored daily snapshots only
| Today | #626 | Score 27 |
|---|---|---|
| 30 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| 90 days ago | Not ranked | No stored score |
| First suggested | Not yet suggested | |
| Highest rank | #626 | |
In the company’s own words
Alaska Air Group, Inc. ("Air Group" or the "Company") is a Delaware corporation incorporated in 1985. Air Group operated three airlines, Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Horizon Air, through October 29, 2025. On that date, Alaska Airlines' and Hawaiian Airlines' operations were combined under Alaska's Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) operating certificate. Hawaiian Airlines is preserved as a distinct brand, providing a unique guest experience to guests traveling to, from, or within the Hawaiian Islands. Alaska Airlines was organized in 1932 and incorporated in 1937 in the state of Alaska. Hawaiian Airlines was originally incorporated in 1929 in the Territory of Hawai'i, and has been a Delaware corporation and wholly-owned subsidiary of Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. since 2005. Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. was acquired by Air Group in 2024. Horizon Air is a Washington corporation that was incorporated and began service in 1981, and was acquired by Air Group in 1986. Air Group acquired Virgin America in 2016, then legally merged the entity with Alaska in 2018, at which time the airlines' operating certificates were also combined. The Company also includes McGee Air Services, an aviation services provider that was established as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Alaska in 2016, and other subsidiaries.
Alaska and Hawaiian - includes scheduled air transportation of passengers and cargo on Boeing 737 (B737), Boeing 787 (B787), Boeing 717 (B717), Airbus A330 (A330), Airbus A321neo (A321neo), and Airbus A330-300F (A330-300F) aircraft throughout North America, Latin America, Asia, and the Pacific.
Regional - includes scheduled air transportation of passengers on Horizon and a third-party carrier (SkyWest) on Embraer E175 (E175) aircraft throughout the western region of North America. All capacity is sold to Alaska under capacity purchase agreements (CPA).
Alaska is the fourth largest global carrier in the United States, and the fifth largest provider of air transportation, offering unparalleled guest service, connectivity, and schedules from hubs in Seattle, Honolulu, Portland, Anchorage, Los Angeles, San Diego, and San Francisco. With our regional partners, we fly to more than 140 destinations throughout North America, Latin America, Asia, and the Pacific. We will serve Europe beginning in spring 2026. Alaska is a member of the one world alliance. With one world and other global partners, our guests have access to more than 900 destinations in 170 territories. Starting in spring 2026, Alaska's one world benefits will extend to guests traveling on Hawaiian-branded aircraft. We have operated in a highly competitive and often challenging industry for more than 90 years. Our airlines' top priority is ensuring the safety of our guests and employees, an area we continually invest in. Our success over many decades is attributable to the prioritization of safety as our number one value, as well as our people, business model, and commitment to sustainable growth over the long-term.
Quoted from the business section of this company’s 10-K filed February 12, 2026. Read the filing
Four distinct intelligence areas
54
Fundamentally Qualified
No prior period to compare
Business Quality qualification score from the locked IA Defensive Research Core. Price Risk stays a separate category and is never blended in.
As of Sep 11, 2026
55
Ordinary Compounder
No prior period to compare
Durable business economics and reinvestment characteristics. Independent external validation is pending.
As of Sep 11, 2026
11
Deteriorating
No prior period to compare
Direction and breadth of change in underlying business fundamentals. Not a price-momentum signal.
As of Sep 11, 2026
67
Mid range
No prior period to compare
Only 3 tracked managers disclosed a position — treat as limited coverage.
As of Sep 11, 2026
Not enough stored history to chart ALK yet. A company needs at least two published research or ownership periods before a trend can be shown.
Share price
Closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends, through Sep 11, 2026. Past prices do not indicate future results.
Last stored close $41.16 · -35.5% over the selected range · 52 sessions shown
Balanced evidence
Risk and uncertainty
Public filings · descriptive only
Reporting holders
1
New holders
1
Increasing
0
Reducing
0
Exiting
0
Coverage
Excellent
Positive disclosed activity · Report period 2016-12-31 · Public 12/22/2023
| Manager | Change | Portfolio weight | Rank | Disclosed |
|---|
Insufficient high-confidence manager coverage.
Objective stored changes
No qualifying changes are recorded for this company in the stored research and filing history.
No high-confidence public ownership events are available.
General research only. Not personalized advice. Public filings may be delayed, amended, incomplete, or reflect positions that have changed since the reporting date.